Elon Musk’s posting pace during the May 26–June 2 window has settled into a steady rhythm that strongly supports the 140-159 outcome, now carrying a 90% market-implied probability. Traders tracking daily activity note roughly 20–23 posts per day, including replies and quotes, consistent with his baseline volume absent major product launches or breaking political developments. No single catalyst—such as a Starship test or high-profile controversy—has triggered the spikes seen in prior weeks when counts exceeded 200. With the period concluding today, the market reflects real-time aggregation of verified X activity rather than speculation, leaving limited room for late surges to shift the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 88.2%
160-179 7.0%
120-139 1.7%
180-199 <1%
$5,791,429 交易量
$5,791,429 交易量
2026-06-02
120-139
2%
140-159
88%
160-179
7%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 88.2%
160-179 7.0%
120-139 1.7%
180-199 <1%
$5,791,429 交易量
$5,791,429 交易量
2026-06-02
120-139
$574,938 交易量
2%
140-159
$288,622 交易量
88%
160-179
$333,815 交易量
7%
180-199
$397,903 交易量
1%
200-219
$290,110 交易量
<1%
220-239
$176,772 交易量
<1%
240-259
$192,776 交易量
<1%
260-279
$216,300 交易量
<1%
280-299
$183,329 交易量
<1%
300-319
$165,881 交易量
<1%
320-339
$163,973 交易量
<1%
340-359
$112,562 交易量
<1%
360-379
$137,354 交易量
<1%
380-399
$125,769 交易量
<1%
400-419
$108,934 交易量
<1%
420-439
$65,247 交易量
<1%
440-459
$71,464 交易量
<1%
460-479
$76,797 交易量
<1%
480-499
$78,074 交易量
<1%
500+
$305,092 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace during the May 26–June 2 window has settled into a steady rhythm that strongly supports the 140-159 outcome, now carrying a 90% market-implied probability. Traders tracking daily activity note roughly 20–23 posts per day, including replies and quotes, consistent with his baseline volume absent major product launches or breaking political developments. No single catalyst—such as a Starship test or high-profile controversy—has triggered the spikes seen in prior weeks when counts exceeded 200. With the period concluding today, the market reflects real-time aggregation of verified X activity rather than speculation, leaving limited room for late surges to shift the range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,791,429结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace during the May 26–June 2 window has settled into a steady rhythm that strongly supports the 140-159 outcome, now carrying a 90% market-implied probability. Traders tracking daily activity note roughly 20–23 posts per day, including replies and quotes, consistent with his baseline volume absent major product launches or breaking political developments. No single catalyst—such as a Starship test or high-profile controversy—has triggered the spikes seen in prior weeks when counts exceeded 200. With the period concluding today, the market reflects real-time aggregation of verified X activity rather than speculation, leaving limited room for late surges to shift the range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 26 12:00 PM ET to June 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,791,429结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace during the May 26–June 2 window has settled into a steady rhythm that strongly supports the 140-159 outcome, now carrying a 90% market-implied probability. Traders tracking daily activity note roughly 20–23 posts per day, including replies and quotes, consistent with his baseline volume absent major product launches or breaking political developments. No single catalyst—such as a Starship test or high-profile controversy—has triggered the spikes seen in prior weeks when counts exceeded 200. With the period concluding today, the market reflects real-time aggregation of verified X activity rather than speculation, leaving limited room for late surges to shift the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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