Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between flat-to-negative and modest positive quarterly outcomes, driven primarily by the Iran conflict’s energy price surge that prompted the government to halve its full-year 2026 forecast to 0.5 percent in April. Q1’s confirmed 0.3 percent expansion showed export rebound offset by flat household spending and declining investment, while the May composite PMI at 48.6 signaled renewed private-sector contraction amid elevated input costs. Expansionary fiscal measures from the 2025 debt-brake reform provide partial support, yet subdued domestic demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty leave sequential momentum limited ahead of the July flash release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.4-0.6% 47%
0.1-0.3% 28%
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.0-1.2% 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
≤0.0%
50%
0.1-0.3%
43%
0.4-0.6%
47%
0.7-0.9%
21%
1.0-1.2%
6%
1.3%+
3%
0.4-0.6% 47%
0.1-0.3% 28%
0.7-0.9% 21%
1.0-1.2% 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
≤0.0%
$134 交易量
50%
0.1-0.3%
$126 交易量
43%
0.4-0.6%
$75 交易量
47%
0.7-0.9%
$88 交易量
21%
1.0-1.2%
$56 交易量
6%
1.3%+
$74 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between flat-to-negative and modest positive quarterly outcomes, driven primarily by the Iran conflict’s energy price surge that prompted the government to halve its full-year 2026 forecast to 0.5 percent in April. Q1’s confirmed 0.3 percent expansion showed export rebound offset by flat household spending and declining investment, while the May composite PMI at 48.6 signaled renewed private-sector contraction amid elevated input costs. Expansionary fiscal measures from the 2025 debt-brake reform provide partial support, yet subdued domestic demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty leave sequential momentum limited ahead of the July flash release.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
交易量
$553结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between flat-to-negative and modest positive quarterly outcomes, driven primarily by the Iran conflict’s energy price surge that prompted the government to halve its full-year 2026 forecast to 0.5 percent in April. Q1’s confirmed 0.3 percent expansion showed export rebound offset by flat household spending and declining investment, while the May composite PMI at 48.6 signaled renewed private-sector contraction amid elevated input costs. Expansionary fiscal measures from the 2025 debt-brake reform provide partial support, yet subdued domestic demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty leave sequential momentum limited ahead of the July flash release.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$553结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q2 2026 GDP growth market reflects closely matched trader sentiment between flat-to-negative and modest positive quarterly outcomes, driven primarily by the Iran conflict’s energy price surge that prompted the government to halve its full-year 2026 forecast to 0.5 percent in April. Q1’s confirmed 0.3 percent expansion showed export rebound offset by flat household spending and declining investment, while the May composite PMI at 48.6 signaled renewed private-sector contraction amid elevated input costs. Expansionary fiscal measures from the 2025 debt-brake reform provide partial support, yet subdued domestic demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty leave sequential momentum limited ahead of the July flash release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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