South Korea’s Q1 2026 GDP print of 3.6% year-over-year, well above the 2.7% consensus and led by semiconductor exports, has lifted full-year growth forecasts toward 2.5%, supporting trader emphasis on the 2.5–2.9% and higher ranges for Q2. Offsetting pressures include moderating base effects after the Q1 surge, softer private consumption, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions weighing on petrochemicals, and U.S. tariff risks that could dampen export momentum. The Bank of Korea’s May hold at 2.5% alongside upgraded 2026 growth and inflation projections to 2.6% and 2.7% underscores this balance. May industrial output and inflation releases will clarify whether the semiconductor upcycle sustains above-trend expansion or yields to these headwinds ahead of the July Q2 GDP release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 44.9%
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.0–2.4% 22%
<1.5% 19.4%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
<1.5%
19%
1.5–1.9%
49%
2.0–2.4%
22%
2.5–2.9%
45%
3.0–3.4%
24%
3.5–3.9%
47%
4.0–4.4%
37%
4.5%+
25%
2.5–2.9% 44.9%
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.0–2.4% 22%
<1.5% 19.4%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
<1.5%
$278 交易量
19%
1.5–1.9%
$184 交易量
49%
2.0–2.4%
$351 交易量
22%
2.5–2.9%
$161 交易量
45%
3.0–3.4%
$154 交易量
24%
3.5–3.9%
$331 交易量
47%
4.0–4.4%
$276 交易量
37%
4.5%+
$238 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q1 2026 GDP print of 3.6% year-over-year, well above the 2.7% consensus and led by semiconductor exports, has lifted full-year growth forecasts toward 2.5%, supporting trader emphasis on the 2.5–2.9% and higher ranges for Q2. Offsetting pressures include moderating base effects after the Q1 surge, softer private consumption, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions weighing on petrochemicals, and U.S. tariff risks that could dampen export momentum. The Bank of Korea’s May hold at 2.5% alongside upgraded 2026 growth and inflation projections to 2.6% and 2.7% underscores this balance. May industrial output and inflation releases will clarify whether the semiconductor upcycle sustains above-trend expansion or yields to these headwinds ahead of the July Q2 GDP release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,972结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q1 2026 GDP print of 3.6% year-over-year, well above the 2.7% consensus and led by semiconductor exports, has lifted full-year growth forecasts toward 2.5%, supporting trader emphasis on the 2.5–2.9% and higher ranges for Q2. Offsetting pressures include moderating base effects after the Q1 surge, softer private consumption, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions weighing on petrochemicals, and U.S. tariff risks that could dampen export momentum. The Bank of Korea’s May hold at 2.5% alongside upgraded 2026 growth and inflation projections to 2.6% and 2.7% underscores this balance. May industrial output and inflation releases will clarify whether the semiconductor upcycle sustains above-trend expansion or yields to these headwinds ahead of the July Q2 GDP release.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
交易量
$1,972结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s Q1 2026 GDP print of 3.6% year-over-year, well above the 2.7% consensus and led by semiconductor exports, has lifted full-year growth forecasts toward 2.5%, supporting trader emphasis on the 2.5–2.9% and higher ranges for Q2. Offsetting pressures include moderating base effects after the Q1 surge, softer private consumption, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions weighing on petrochemicals, and U.S. tariff risks that could dampen export momentum. The Bank of Korea’s May hold at 2.5% alongside upgraded 2026 growth and inflation projections to 2.6% and 2.7% underscores this balance. May industrial output and inflation releases will clarify whether the semiconductor upcycle sustains above-trend expansion or yields to these headwinds ahead of the July Q2 GDP release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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