Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 center on modest expansion in the 0.4-0.7% range, reflecting the 46% market-implied probability as traders price in a partial rebound from the confirmed 0.1% QoQ print in Q1. The primary driver remains the Middle East energy supply shock that elevated oil and LNG prices, compressing household purchasing power, business confidence, and investment while prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts—to 0.9-1.1% across ECB staff, European Commission, and Consensus Economics projections—stem from these higher input costs and trade policy uncertainty, with subdued business surveys and consumer sentiment reinforcing the case against stronger outcomes above 0.8%. Q2 momentum indicators will clarify whether the shock proves temporary or embeds further pressure on domestic demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.4-0.7% 46%
0.8-1.1% 34%
1.2-1.5% 32.9%
0.0-0.3% 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
<0.0%
10%
0.0-0.3%
12%
0.4-0.7%
46%
0.8-1.1%
34%
1.2-1.5%
33%
1.6-1.9%
2%
2.0%+
2%
0.4-0.7% 46%
0.8-1.1% 34%
1.2-1.5% 32.9%
0.0-0.3% 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
<0.0%
$139 交易量
10%
0.0-0.3%
$367 交易量
12%
0.4-0.7%
$170 交易量
46%
0.8-1.1%
$183 交易量
34%
1.2-1.5%
$110 交易量
33%
1.6-1.9%
$211 交易量
2%
2.0%+
$139 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 center on modest expansion in the 0.4-0.7% range, reflecting the 46% market-implied probability as traders price in a partial rebound from the confirmed 0.1% QoQ print in Q1. The primary driver remains the Middle East energy supply shock that elevated oil and LNG prices, compressing household purchasing power, business confidence, and investment while prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts—to 0.9-1.1% across ECB staff, European Commission, and Consensus Economics projections—stem from these higher input costs and trade policy uncertainty, with subdued business surveys and consumer sentiment reinforcing the case against stronger outcomes above 0.8%. Q2 momentum indicators will clarify whether the shock proves temporary or embeds further pressure on domestic demand.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
交易量
$1,320结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 center on modest expansion in the 0.4-0.7% range, reflecting the 46% market-implied probability as traders price in a partial rebound from the confirmed 0.1% QoQ print in Q1. The primary driver remains the Middle East energy supply shock that elevated oil and LNG prices, compressing household purchasing power, business confidence, and investment while prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts—to 0.9-1.1% across ECB staff, European Commission, and Consensus Economics projections—stem from these higher input costs and trade policy uncertainty, with subdued business surveys and consumer sentiment reinforcing the case against stronger outcomes above 0.8%. Q2 momentum indicators will clarify whether the shock proves temporary or embeds further pressure on domestic demand.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,320结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone GDP growth expectations for Q2 2026 center on modest expansion in the 0.4-0.7% range, reflecting the 46% market-implied probability as traders price in a partial rebound from the confirmed 0.1% QoQ print in Q1. The primary driver remains the Middle East energy supply shock that elevated oil and LNG prices, compressing household purchasing power, business confidence, and investment while prompting ECB officials to signal potential rate hikes. Downward revisions to 2026 annual forecasts—to 0.9-1.1% across ECB staff, European Commission, and Consensus Economics projections—stem from these higher input costs and trade policy uncertainty, with subdued business surveys and consumer sentiment reinforcing the case against stronger outcomes above 0.8%. Q2 momentum indicators will clarify whether the shock proves temporary or embeds further pressure on domestic demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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