United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding a supermajority after securing 324 seats in 2021, with recent polls showing 33–45 percent support that places it well ahead of systemic rivals under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including a federal list headed by Dmitry Medvedev alongside Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Ukraine conflict veterans, combined with new constituencies in occupied territories and extensive administrative resources, sustain trader consensus around 325–354 seats. The narrow spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, regional variations in single-member results, and the effectiveness of veteran mobilization amid ongoing economic pressures, while structural barriers limit meaningful gains by other parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于340–354 31%
325–339 25%
355+ 21%
310–324 15.1%
$28,475 交易量
$28,475 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
5%
280–294
4%
295–309
4%
310–324
15%
325–339
25%
340–354
31%
355+
21%
340–354 31%
325–339 25%
355+ 21%
310–324 15.1%
$28,475 交易量
$28,475 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
$6,769 交易量
5%
280–294
$2,830 交易量
4%
295–309
$1,665 交易量
4%
310–324
$1,442 交易量
15%
325–339
$2,057 交易量
25%
340–354
$1,828 交易量
31%
355+
$11,884 交易量
21%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding a supermajority after securing 324 seats in 2021, with recent polls showing 33–45 percent support that places it well ahead of systemic rivals under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including a federal list headed by Dmitry Medvedev alongside Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Ukraine conflict veterans, combined with new constituencies in occupied territories and extensive administrative resources, sustain trader consensus around 325–354 seats. The narrow spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, regional variations in single-member results, and the effectiveness of veteran mobilization amid ongoing economic pressures, while structural barriers limit meaningful gains by other parties.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$28,475结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding a supermajority after securing 324 seats in 2021, with recent polls showing 33–45 percent support that places it well ahead of systemic rivals under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including a federal list headed by Dmitry Medvedev alongside Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Ukraine conflict veterans, combined with new constituencies in occupied territories and extensive administrative resources, sustain trader consensus around 325–354 seats. The narrow spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, regional variations in single-member results, and the effectiveness of veteran mobilization amid ongoing economic pressures, while structural barriers limit meaningful gains by other parties.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$28,475结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma election holding a supermajority after securing 324 seats in 2021, with recent polls showing 33–45 percent support that places it well ahead of systemic rivals under the mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and single-member districts. Kremlin-aligned preparations, including a federal list headed by Dmitry Medvedev alongside Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Ukraine conflict veterans, combined with new constituencies in occupied territories and extensive administrative resources, sustain trader consensus around 325–354 seats. The narrow spread among leading ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, regional variations in single-member results, and the effectiveness of veteran mobilization amid ongoing economic pressures, while structural barriers limit meaningful gains by other parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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