United Russia leads trader consensus for the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, administrative resources, dominance in single-member districts, and influence over candidate selection through electronic primaries. New People follows as the primary challenger, buoyed by recent regional election gains and occasional second-place showings in national polling aggregates that highlight its potential to expand its current faction. The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and Communist Party of the Russian Federation trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with mixed regional results and stable but limited support levels. Systemic opposition parties face structural barriers under the mixed electoral system, while smaller registered parties register minimal movement in preparations ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 56%
新人民党（NL） 34.1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 4.8%
$9,570,631 交易量
$9,570,631 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
56%
新人民党（NL）
34%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
5%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 56%
新人民党（NL） 34.1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 4.8%
$9,570,631 交易量
$9,570,631 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$2,936,457 交易量
56%
新人民党（NL）
$1,207,760 交易量
34%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,351,741 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$722,529 交易量
5%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$624,241 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$1,087,762 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$640,153 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia leads trader consensus for the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, administrative resources, dominance in single-member districts, and influence over candidate selection through electronic primaries. New People follows as the primary challenger, buoyed by recent regional election gains and occasional second-place showings in national polling aggregates that highlight its potential to expand its current faction. The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and Communist Party of the Russian Federation trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with mixed regional results and stable but limited support levels. Systemic opposition parties face structural barriers under the mixed electoral system, while smaller registered parties register minimal movement in preparations ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$9,570,631结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia leads trader consensus for the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, administrative resources, dominance in single-member districts, and influence over candidate selection through electronic primaries. New People follows as the primary challenger, buoyed by recent regional election gains and occasional second-place showings in national polling aggregates that highlight its potential to expand its current faction. The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and Communist Party of the Russian Federation trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with mixed regional results and stable but limited support levels. Systemic opposition parties face structural barriers under the mixed electoral system, while smaller registered parties register minimal movement in preparations ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$9,570,631结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia leads trader consensus for the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, administrative resources, dominance in single-member districts, and influence over candidate selection through electronic primaries. New People follows as the primary challenger, buoyed by recent regional election gains and occasional second-place showings in national polling aggregates that highlight its potential to expand its current faction. The Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and Communist Party of the Russian Federation trail with lower implied probabilities, consistent with mixed regional results and stable but limited support levels. Systemic opposition parties face structural barriers under the mixed electoral system, while smaller registered parties register minimal movement in preparations ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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