Lebanon's parliamentary elections, postponed from May 2026 to 2028 after parliament extended its mandate amid escalated conflict with Israel, have produced a fragmented field where no single party or alliance commands broad consensus. The 2022 results and subsequent political paralysis, compounded by economic crisis and the 2025-2026 war's effects on Hezbollah and its allies, have left traditional blocs such as Amal and the Lebanese Forces facing stiff competition from independents, reformist movements, and diaspora-influenced lists. Recent administrative steps, including candidate registration timelines and expatriate voting preparations, underscore logistical challenges while highlighting divisions over electoral rules and potential new coalitions. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with leading outcomes below 7 percent amid shifting alliances and unresolved post-conflict dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于阿迈勒运动（阿迈勒） 6.1%
黎巴嫩力量党（LF） 1.6%
自由爱国运动（FPM） 1.4%
真主党（Hezb） 1.3%
$559,861 交易量
$559,861 交易量
2026-05-31
阿迈勒运动（阿迈勒）
6%
黎巴嫩力量党（LF）
2%
自由爱国运动（FPM）
1%
真主党（Hezb）
1%
马拉达运动
1%
受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织（PNO）
1%
塔卡杜姆党
1%
ReLebanon
1%
玛达党（Mada）
1%
卡塔伊布党（Kataeb）
<1%
伊斯兰慈善项目协会（ICPA）
<1%
联盟党（UP）
<1%
瓦塔尼联盟（Watani）
<1%
全国对话党（NDP）
<1%
拉娜 – 社会民主党（拉娜）
<1%
伊斯兰集团（IG）
<1%
黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党（复兴党）
<1%
Khatt Ahmar
<1%
进步社会党（PSP）
<1%
独立运动
<1%
国家自由党（NLP）
<1%
尊严运动（DM）
<1%
亚美尼亚革命联盟（ARF）
<1%
阿迈勒运动（阿迈勒） 6.1%
黎巴嫩力量党（LF） 1.6%
自由爱国运动（FPM） 1.4%
真主党（Hezb） 1.3%
$559,861 交易量
$559,861 交易量
2026-05-31
阿迈勒运动（阿迈勒）
$56,503 交易量
6%
黎巴嫩力量党（LF）
$160,653 交易量
2%
自由爱国运动（FPM）
$76,599 交易量
1%
真主党（Hezb）
$47,062 交易量
1%
马拉达运动
$4,437 交易量
1%
受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织（PNO）
$4,888 交易量
1%
塔卡杜姆党
$6,979 交易量
1%
ReLebanon
$6,214 交易量
1%
玛达党（Mada）
$24,605 交易量
1%
卡塔伊布党（Kataeb）
$4,898 交易量
<1%
伊斯兰慈善项目协会（ICPA）
$5,017 交易量
<1%
联盟党（UP）
$3,914 交易量
<1%
瓦塔尼联盟（Watani）
$5,554 交易量
<1%
全国对话党（NDP）
$43,392 交易量
<1%
拉娜 – 社会民主党（拉娜）
$5,050 交易量
<1%
伊斯兰集团（IG）
$5,066 交易量
<1%
黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党（复兴党）
$7,660 交易量
<1%
Khatt Ahmar
$3,963 交易量
<1%
进步社会党（PSP）
$48,423 交易量
<1%
独立运动
$3,738 交易量
<1%
国家自由党（NLP）
$5,926 交易量
<1%
尊严运动（DM）
$23,817 交易量
<1%
亚美尼亚革命联盟（ARF）
$5,501 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Lebanon's parliamentary elections, postponed from May 2026 to 2028 after parliament extended its mandate amid escalated conflict with Israel, have produced a fragmented field where no single party or alliance commands broad consensus. The 2022 results and subsequent political paralysis, compounded by economic crisis and the 2025-2026 war's effects on Hezbollah and its allies, have left traditional blocs such as Amal and the Lebanese Forces facing stiff competition from independents, reformist movements, and diaspora-influenced lists. Recent administrative steps, including candidate registration timelines and expatriate voting preparations, underscore logistical challenges while highlighting divisions over electoral rules and potential new coalitions. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with leading outcomes below 7 percent amid shifting alliances and unresolved post-conflict dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
交易量
$559,861结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Lebanon's parliamentary elections, postponed from May 2026 to 2028 after parliament extended its mandate amid escalated conflict with Israel, have produced a fragmented field where no single party or alliance commands broad consensus. The 2022 results and subsequent political paralysis, compounded by economic crisis and the 2025-2026 war's effects on Hezbollah and its allies, have left traditional blocs such as Amal and the Lebanese Forces facing stiff competition from independents, reformist movements, and diaspora-influenced lists. Recent administrative steps, including candidate registration timelines and expatriate voting preparations, underscore logistical challenges while highlighting divisions over electoral rules and potential new coalitions. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with leading outcomes below 7 percent amid shifting alliances and unresolved post-conflict dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$559,861结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lebanon's parliamentary elections, postponed from May 2026 to 2028 after parliament extended its mandate amid escalated conflict with Israel, have produced a fragmented field where no single party or alliance commands broad consensus. The 2022 results and subsequent political paralysis, compounded by economic crisis and the 2025-2026 war's effects on Hezbollah and its allies, have left traditional blocs such as Amal and the Lebanese Forces facing stiff competition from independents, reformist movements, and diaspora-influenced lists. Recent administrative steps, including candidate registration timelines and expatriate voting preparations, underscore logistical challenges while highlighting divisions over electoral rules and potential new coalitions. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with leading outcomes below 7 percent amid shifting alliances and unresolved post-conflict dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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