Kareem Allam leads trader consensus at 53.5% in the October 17, 2026 Vancouver mayoral race due to his background as Ken Sim’s former chief of staff and ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the Vancouver Liberals party as a direct challenger. The crowded field, including incumbent Sim at 26%, Green Party’s Pete Fry at 10.4%, and OneCity’s William Azaroff at 5.3%, raises vote-splitting concerns that favor Allam’s broader appeal among centrist and former ABC supporters. Recent candidate announcements, including Colleen Hardwick and others entering by May 2026, have reinforced perceptions of a fragmented opposition, while earlier 2025 polling showed Allam competitive or ahead in hypothetical matchups. The election’s first-past-the-post system amplifies these dynamics ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡里姆·阿拉姆 54%
肯·沈 26%
皮特·弗莱 9.7%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$78,432 交易量
$78,432 交易量
卡里姆·阿拉姆
54%
肯·沈
26%
皮特·弗莱
10%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%
科琳·哈德威克
1%
约翰·库帕
1%
肖恩·奥尔
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
弗雷德·哈丁
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 54%
肯·沈 26%
皮特·弗莱 9.7%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$78,432 交易量
$78,432 交易量
卡里姆·阿拉姆
54%
肯·沈
26%
皮特·弗莱
10%
威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%
科琳·哈德威克
1%
约翰·库帕
1%
肖恩·奥尔
1%
阿曼达·伯罗斯
1%
弗雷德·哈丁
1%
丽贝卡·布莱
1%
蒂姆·路易斯
<1%
Kirk LaPointe
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kareem Allam leads trader consensus at 53.5% in the October 17, 2026 Vancouver mayoral race due to his background as Ken Sim’s former chief of staff and ABC Vancouver campaign manager, combined with his launch of the Vancouver Liberals party as a direct challenger. The crowded field, including incumbent Sim at 26%, Green Party’s Pete Fry at 10.4%, and OneCity’s William Azaroff at 5.3%, raises vote-splitting concerns that favor Allam’s broader appeal among centrist and former ABC supporters. Recent candidate announcements, including Colleen Hardwick and others entering by May 2026, have reinforced perceptions of a fragmented opposition, while earlier 2025 polling showed Allam competitive or ahead in hypothetical matchups. The election’s first-past-the-post system amplifies these dynamics ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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