Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency following his June 2025 snap election victory after former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment and removal. The Democratic Party maintains a National Assembly majority that raises the threshold for any impeachment motion to advance. Lee’s approval ratings have remained elevated near 60 percent into 2026 amid policy implementation and diplomatic activity, with his single five-year term running through 2030. Traders price a 98.5 percent probability against formal impeachment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative momentum or acute political crises that historically precede removal proceedings. Unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, sharp erosion of coalition support, or constitutional court rulings could still alter the outlook before the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$11,035 交易量
$11,035 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$11,035 交易量
$11,035 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency following his June 2025 snap election victory after former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment and removal. The Democratic Party maintains a National Assembly majority that raises the threshold for any impeachment motion to advance. Lee’s approval ratings have remained elevated near 60 percent into 2026 amid policy implementation and diplomatic activity, with his single five-year term running through 2030. Traders price a 98.5 percent probability against formal impeachment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative momentum or acute political crises that historically precede removal proceedings. Unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, sharp erosion of coalition support, or constitutional court rulings could still alter the outlook before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$11,035结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency following his June 2025 snap election victory after former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment and removal. The Democratic Party maintains a National Assembly majority that raises the threshold for any impeachment motion to advance. Lee’s approval ratings have remained elevated near 60 percent into 2026 amid policy implementation and diplomatic activity, with his single five-year term running through 2030. Traders price a 98.5 percent probability against formal impeachment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative momentum or acute political crises that historically precede removal proceedings. Unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, sharp erosion of coalition support, or constitutional court rulings could still alter the outlook before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$11,145结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung holds South Korea’s presidency following his June 2025 snap election victory after former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s impeachment and removal. The Democratic Party maintains a National Assembly majority that raises the threshold for any impeachment motion to advance. Lee’s approval ratings have remained elevated near 60 percent into 2026 amid policy implementation and diplomatic activity, with his single five-year term running through 2030. Traders price a 98.5 percent probability against formal impeachment by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of legislative momentum or acute political crises that historically precede removal proceedings. Unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, sharp erosion of coalition support, or constitutional court rulings could still alter the outlook before the resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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