President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and the Democratic Party’s (DP) status as the ruling party have positioned it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 3 by-elections for 14 National Assembly seats, 13 of which were previously held by DP members. Recent political developments, including lingering effects from prior conservative leadership controversies and internal divisions within the opposition People Power Party, have reinforced DP advantages in these races, which coincide with nationwide local elections. Trader pricing, with 10+ seats at 58.8 percent, reflects expectations that DP candidates will secure the large majority of contested districts, though outcomes remain subject to final turnout and any last-minute shifts in key battlegrounds such as Busan.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10个及以上 74.9%
8-9 24.6%
6-7 1.2%
2-3 <1%
$38,654 交易量
$38,654 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
1%
8-9
25%
10个及以上
59%
10个及以上 74.9%
8-9 24.6%
6-7 1.2%
2-3 <1%
$38,654 交易量
$38,654 交易量
0-1
<1%
2-3
1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
1%
8-9
25%
10个及以上
59%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Lee Jae-myung’s approval rating near 60 percent and the Democratic Party’s (DP) status as the ruling party have positioned it as the clear frontrunner ahead of the June 3 by-elections for 14 National Assembly seats, 13 of which were previously held by DP members. Recent political developments, including lingering effects from prior conservative leadership controversies and internal divisions within the opposition People Power Party, have reinforced DP advantages in these races, which coincide with nationwide local elections. Trader pricing, with 10+ seats at 58.8 percent, reflects expectations that DP candidates will secure the large majority of contested districts, though outcomes remain subject to final turnout and any last-minute shifts in key battlegrounds such as Busan.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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