Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-oh leads the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest in recent polls by margins of roughly four to ten points over incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, a narrowing from earlier double-digit advantages that has positioned narrow victory bands for Chong as the leading trader consensus. Oh's campaign has emphasized housing redevelopment and reconstruction priorities while Chong has highlighted local governance successes in transforming districts such as Seongsu. With the election one day away and nearly 20 percent of voters undecided in some surveys, the race remains within typical polling error, sustaining elevated probabilities for outcomes under six points and limiting support for wider margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Chong Won-oh 3-6% 42%
Chong Won-oh <3% 27%
Chong Won-oh 6-9% 14%
Oh Se-hoon <3% 13%
$18,847 交易量
$18,847 交易量
2026-06-03
Chong Won-oh 9%+
7%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
14%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
42%
Chong Won-oh <3%
27%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
13%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
4%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
2%
Other
<1%
Chong Won-oh 3-6% 42%
Chong Won-oh <3% 27%
Chong Won-oh 6-9% 14%
Oh Se-hoon <3% 13%
$18,847 交易量
$18,847 交易量
2026-06-03
Chong Won-oh 9%+
$2,126 交易量
7%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
$1,546 交易量
14%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
$2,049 交易量
42%
Chong Won-oh <3%
$1,405 交易量
27%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
$2,373 交易量
13%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
$3,929 交易量
4%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
$3,873 交易量
2%
Other
$1,545 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-oh leads the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest in recent polls by margins of roughly four to ten points over incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, a narrowing from earlier double-digit advantages that has positioned narrow victory bands for Chong as the leading trader consensus. Oh's campaign has emphasized housing redevelopment and reconstruction priorities while Chong has highlighted local governance successes in transforming districts such as Seongsu. With the election one day away and nearly 20 percent of voters undecided in some surveys, the race remains within typical polling error, sustaining elevated probabilities for outcomes under six points and limiting support for wider margins.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
交易量
$18,847结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-oh leads the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest in recent polls by margins of roughly four to ten points over incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, a narrowing from earlier double-digit advantages that has positioned narrow victory bands for Chong as the leading trader consensus. Oh's campaign has emphasized housing redevelopment and reconstruction priorities while Chong has highlighted local governance successes in transforming districts such as Seongsu. With the election one day away and nearly 20 percent of voters undecided in some surveys, the race remains within typical polling error, sustaining elevated probabilities for outcomes under six points and limiting support for wider margins.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$18,847结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-oh leads the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest in recent polls by margins of roughly four to ten points over incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, a narrowing from earlier double-digit advantages that has positioned narrow victory bands for Chong as the leading trader consensus. Oh's campaign has emphasized housing redevelopment and reconstruction priorities while Chong has highlighted local governance successes in transforming districts such as Seongsu. With the election one day away and nearly 20 percent of voters undecided in some surveys, the race remains within typical polling error, sustaining elevated probabilities for outcomes under six points and limiting support for wider margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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