The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat, against Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national Labour strains and Reform's foothold in the constituency. Recent local reporting highlights voter frustration over flooding, high-street conditions, and perceived shifts in party direction, sustaining competitive margins as traders price in Burnham's organisational edge against Kenyon's home-ground appeal and Reform's prior second-place showing. Upcoming final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among traditional Labour supporters, and any late national political signals could widen or narrow the victory gap before results on 19 June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Burnham 9%+ 28%
Burnham 3-6% 22%
Burnham 6-9% 16%
Burnham <3% 14%
$15,730 交易量
$15,730 交易量
Burnham 9%+
28%
Burnham 6-9%
16%
Burnham 3-6%
22%
Burnham <3%
14%
Kenyon <3%
12%
Kenyon 3-6%
8%
Kenyon 6%+
4%
Other
3%
Burnham 9%+ 28%
Burnham 3-6% 22%
Burnham 6-9% 16%
Burnham <3% 14%
$15,730 交易量
$15,730 交易量
Burnham 9%+
$3,044 交易量
28%
Burnham 6-9%
$1,490 交易量
16%
Burnham 3-6%
$1,138 交易量
22%
Burnham <3%
$1,540 交易量
14%
Kenyon <3%
$1,283 交易量
12%
Kenyon 3-6%
$1,138 交易量
8%
Kenyon 6%+
$2,170 交易量
4%
Other
$3,926 交易量
3%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat, against Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national Labour strains and Reform's foothold in the constituency. Recent local reporting highlights voter frustration over flooding, high-street conditions, and perceived shifts in party direction, sustaining competitive margins as traders price in Burnham's organisational edge against Kenyon's home-ground appeal and Reform's prior second-place showing. Upcoming final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among traditional Labour supporters, and any late national political signals could widen or narrow the victory gap before results on 19 June.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
交易量
$15,730市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat, against Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national Labour strains and Reform's foothold in the constituency. Recent local reporting highlights voter frustration over flooding, high-street conditions, and perceived shifts in party direction, sustaining competitive margins as traders price in Burnham's organisational edge against Kenyon's home-ground appeal and Reform's prior second-place showing. Upcoming final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among traditional Labour supporters, and any late national political signals could widen or narrow the victory gap before results on 19 June.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in June 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$15,730市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour's Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor seeking a parliamentary seat, against Reform UK's local candidate Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national Labour strains and Reform's foothold in the constituency. Recent local reporting highlights voter frustration over flooding, high-street conditions, and perceived shifts in party direction, sustaining competitive margins as traders price in Burnham's organisational edge against Kenyon's home-ground appeal and Reform's prior second-place showing. Upcoming final-week campaigning, turnout patterns among traditional Labour supporters, and any late national political signals could widen or narrow the victory gap before results on 19 June.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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