Andy Burnham's selection as Labour's candidate for the June 18 by-election, enabled by Josh Simons' resignation to create a parliamentary seat, underpins trader consensus on his 76% implied probability. As Greater Manchester mayor and a former MP in the region, Burnham brings high visibility and party machinery to a historically Labour-held constituency, where recent polls show him ahead despite Reform UK's strong local election results. Robert Kenyon's 21.5% reflects the challenger's appeal amid voter concerns over national issues, though scrutiny of his past statements has limited momentum. Minor candidates trail due to limited profiles and vote fragmentation in this contest, which could influence Labour leadership dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Andy Burnham 76%
Robert Kenyon 22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.9%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$1,863,288 交易量
$1,863,288 交易量
2026-06-18
Andy Burnham
76%
Robert Kenyon
22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 76%
Robert Kenyon 22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.9%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$1,863,288 交易量
$1,863,288 交易量
2026-06-18
Andy Burnham
$156,805 交易量
76%
Robert Kenyon
$102,522 交易量
22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
$1,577,182 交易量
3%
Simon Finkelstein
$6,702 交易量
<1%
Maria Deery
$6,509 交易量
<1%
John Skipworth
$6,531 交易量
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$8,147 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's selection as Labour's candidate for the June 18 by-election, enabled by Josh Simons' resignation to create a parliamentary seat, underpins trader consensus on his 76% implied probability. As Greater Manchester mayor and a former MP in the region, Burnham brings high visibility and party machinery to a historically Labour-held constituency, where recent polls show him ahead despite Reform UK's strong local election results. Robert Kenyon's 21.5% reflects the challenger's appeal amid voter concerns over national issues, though scrutiny of his past statements has limited momentum. Minor candidates trail due to limited profiles and vote fragmentation in this contest, which could influence Labour leadership dynamics.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
交易量
$1,863,288结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham's selection as Labour's candidate for the June 18 by-election, enabled by Josh Simons' resignation to create a parliamentary seat, underpins trader consensus on his 76% implied probability. As Greater Manchester mayor and a former MP in the region, Burnham brings high visibility and party machinery to a historically Labour-held constituency, where recent polls show him ahead despite Reform UK's strong local election results. Robert Kenyon's 21.5% reflects the challenger's appeal amid voter concerns over national issues, though scrutiny of his past statements has limited momentum. Minor candidates trail due to limited profiles and vote fragmentation in this contest, which could influence Labour leadership dynamics.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
交易量
$1,863,288结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham's selection as Labour's candidate for the June 18 by-election, enabled by Josh Simons' resignation to create a parliamentary seat, underpins trader consensus on his 76% implied probability. As Greater Manchester mayor and a former MP in the region, Burnham brings high visibility and party machinery to a historically Labour-held constituency, where recent polls show him ahead despite Reform UK's strong local election results. Robert Kenyon's 21.5% reflects the challenger's appeal amid voter concerns over national issues, though scrutiny of his past statements has limited momentum. Minor candidates trail due to limited profiles and vote fragmentation in this contest, which could influence Labour leadership dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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