Recent polls position Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton as the clear frontrunners in California's June 2 top-two primary, with Becerra at 23-25% and Hilton at 20-23%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Steyer. Democratic support has consolidated around Becerra following Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, while Donald Trump's endorsement of Hilton has unified most Republican voters behind him rather than Chad Bianco. This dynamic strongly favors one Democrat and one Republican advancing, aligning with trader consensus. A second Democrat could reach the general election only if Steyer or another contender overtakes Hilton in final tallies, though that scenario remains secondary in current surveys. Two Republicans advancing appears highly improbable given the party's consolidated backing for Hilton.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党-共和党 77%
民主党-民主党 25%
共和党-共和党 <1%
$150,063 交易量
$150,063 交易量

民主党-共和党
77%

民主党-民主党
25%

共和党-共和党
1%
民主党-共和党 77%
民主党-民主党 25%
共和党-共和党 <1%
$150,063 交易量
$150,063 交易量

民主党-共和党
77%

民主党-民主党
25%

共和党-共和党
1%
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls position Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton as the clear frontrunners in California's June 2 top-two primary, with Becerra at 23-25% and Hilton at 20-23%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Steyer. Democratic support has consolidated around Becerra following Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, while Donald Trump's endorsement of Hilton has unified most Republican voters behind him rather than Chad Bianco. This dynamic strongly favors one Democrat and one Republican advancing, aligning with trader consensus. A second Democrat could reach the general election only if Steyer or another contender overtakes Hilton in final tallies, though that scenario remains secondary in current surveys. Two Republicans advancing appears highly improbable given the party's consolidated backing for Hilton.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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