Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for two additional six-year terms following the 2020 amendments positions him to remain president until 2036, underpinning trader expectations that he will serve through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. His 2024 reelection with over 87 percent of the vote, ongoing leadership of the United Russia party ahead of the September 2026 legislative elections, and continued public engagement—including the December 2025 year-end press conference—reinforce perceptions of stable control with no announced succession plans or elite challenges. Absent sudden health developments or unanticipated domestic realignments, the current 91.5 percent implied probability on the “No” outcome aligns with the absence of verifiable catalysts for early departure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$6,757,636 交易量
$6,757,636 交易量
是
$6,757,636 交易量
$6,757,636 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s constitutional eligibility for two additional six-year terms following the 2020 amendments positions him to remain president until 2036, underpinning trader expectations that he will serve through the December 31, 2026 resolution date. His 2024 reelection with over 87 percent of the vote, ongoing leadership of the United Russia party ahead of the September 2026 legislative elections, and continued public engagement—including the December 2025 year-end press conference—reinforce perceptions of stable control with no announced succession plans or elite challenges. Absent sudden health developments or unanticipated domestic realignments, the current 91.5 percent implied probability on the “No” outcome aligns with the absence of verifiable catalysts for early departure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题