Putin's centralized authority, extensive surveillance of elites, and deliberate fragmentation of security services have sustained regime stability into 2026, limiting prospects for an organized coup attempt despite battlefield pressures in Ukraine and reported internal tensions. European intelligence assessments from March onward noted heightened Kremlin security protocols, including restrictions on staff and concerns over figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet no verified plots or military fractures have materialized. Traders' 91.5% consensus on "No" reflects this entrenched control and historical precedent of suppressed challenges, though late-year economic strains or leadership health events could theoretically introduce variables before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,903 交易量
$28,903 交易量
2026-12-31
$28,903 交易量
$28,903 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's centralized authority, extensive surveillance of elites, and deliberate fragmentation of security services have sustained regime stability into 2026, limiting prospects for an organized coup attempt despite battlefield pressures in Ukraine and reported internal tensions. European intelligence assessments from March onward noted heightened Kremlin security protocols, including restrictions on staff and concerns over figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet no verified plots or military fractures have materialized. Traders' 91.5% consensus on "No" reflects this entrenched control and historical precedent of suppressed challenges, though late-year economic strains or leadership health events could theoretically introduce variables before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$28,903结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's centralized authority, extensive surveillance of elites, and deliberate fragmentation of security services have sustained regime stability into 2026, limiting prospects for an organized coup attempt despite battlefield pressures in Ukraine and reported internal tensions. European intelligence assessments from March onward noted heightened Kremlin security protocols, including restrictions on staff and concerns over figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet no verified plots or military fractures have materialized. Traders' 91.5% consensus on "No" reflects this entrenched control and historical precedent of suppressed challenges, though late-year economic strains or leadership health events could theoretically introduce variables before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$28,903结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin's centralized authority, extensive surveillance of elites, and deliberate fragmentation of security services have sustained regime stability into 2026, limiting prospects for an organized coup attempt despite battlefield pressures in Ukraine and reported internal tensions. European intelligence assessments from March onward noted heightened Kremlin security protocols, including restrictions on staff and concerns over figures like Sergei Shoigu, yet no verified plots or military fractures have materialized. Traders' 91.5% consensus on "No" reflects this entrenched control and historical precedent of suppressed challenges, though late-year economic strains or leadership health events could theoretically introduce variables before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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