The Sudan civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has persisted without a sustained ceasefire since April 2023, with both sides maintaining military objectives amid shifting territorial control and external support. The Quad mediation group of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates has advanced proposals for an initial three-month humanitarian truce followed by a political transition to civilian rule, which the RSF accepted in late 2025 while the SAF rejected key elements over mediator composition and preconditions. Diplomatic momentum has included U.S.-backed initiatives under the Trump administration, donor conferences for aid mobilization, and AU-UN coordination efforts, yet implementation has stalled due to mutual accusations of bad faith and competing regional interests. Severe humanitarian conditions, including famine risks and displacement, have intensified calls for de-escalation, though recent developments such as limited aid deliveries and SAF operational gains in early 2026 have not produced verifiable progress toward a monitored cessation of hostilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$96,129 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年6月30日
16%
2026年12月31日
25%
$96,129 交易量
2026年6月30日
$36,473 交易量
16%
2026年12月31日
$508 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.The Sudan civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has persisted without a sustained ceasefire since April 2023, with both sides maintaining military objectives amid shifting territorial control and external support. The Quad mediation group of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates has advanced proposals for an initial three-month humanitarian truce followed by a political transition to civilian rule, which the RSF accepted in late 2025 while the SAF rejected key elements over mediator composition and preconditions. Diplomatic momentum has included U.S.-backed initiatives under the Trump administration, donor conferences for aid mobilization, and AU-UN coordination efforts, yet implementation has stalled due to mutual accusations of bad faith and competing regional interests. Severe humanitarian conditions, including famine risks and displacement, have intensified calls for de-escalation, though recent developments such as limited aid deliveries and SAF operational gains in early 2026 have not produced verifiable progress toward a monitored cessation of hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$96,129结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.The Sudan civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has persisted without a sustained ceasefire since April 2023, with both sides maintaining military objectives amid shifting territorial control and external support. The Quad mediation group of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates has advanced proposals for an initial three-month humanitarian truce followed by a political transition to civilian rule, which the RSF accepted in late 2025 while the SAF rejected key elements over mediator composition and preconditions. Diplomatic momentum has included U.S.-backed initiatives under the Trump administration, donor conferences for aid mobilization, and AU-UN coordination efforts, yet implementation has stalled due to mutual accusations of bad faith and competing regional interests. Severe humanitarian conditions, including famine risks and displacement, have intensified calls for de-escalation, though recent developments such as limited aid deliveries and SAF operational gains in early 2026 have not produced verifiable progress toward a monitored cessation of hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$96,129结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudan civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has persisted without a sustained ceasefire since April 2023, with both sides maintaining military objectives amid shifting territorial control and external support. The Quad mediation group of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates has advanced proposals for an initial three-month humanitarian truce followed by a political transition to civilian rule, which the RSF accepted in late 2025 while the SAF rejected key elements over mediator composition and preconditions. Diplomatic momentum has included U.S.-backed initiatives under the Trump administration, donor conferences for aid mobilization, and AU-UN coordination efforts, yet implementation has stalled due to mutual accusations of bad faith and competing regional interests. Severe humanitarian conditions, including famine risks and displacement, have intensified calls for de-escalation, though recent developments such as limited aid deliveries and SAF operational gains in early 2026 have not produced verifiable progress toward a monitored cessation of hostilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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