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icon for 特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?

特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?

icon for 特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?

特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?

93% 概率
Polymarket
最新

93% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's May 28, 2026, State Department announcement designating Brazil's Comando Vermelho and Primeiro Comando da Capital as Specially Designated Global Terrorists, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status set for June 5, has driven the 92.6% "Yes" consensus. This step followed direct lobbying by Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro during a White House meeting with President Trump and aligned with the administration's broader pattern of applying similar labels to Latin American criminal networks for counternarcotics and security purposes. The timing, well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaves limited scope for reversal absent unforeseen diplomatic or legal shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,111
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's May 28, 2026, State Department announcement designating Brazil's Comando Vermelho and Primeiro Comando da Capital as Specially Designated Global Terrorists, with Foreign Terrorist Organization status set for June 5, has driven the 92.6% "Yes" consensus. This step followed direct lobbying by Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro during a White House meeting with President Trump and aligned with the administration's broader pattern of applying similar labels to Latin American criminal networks for counternarcotics and security purposes. The timing, well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaves limited scope for reversal absent unforeseen diplomatic or legal shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,111
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在12月31日前将巴西的PCC或CV定为恐怖分子吗?",概率为 93%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 93¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 93%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 28, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在12月31日前将巴西的PCC或CV定为恐怖分子吗?",概率为 93%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 93%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在12月31日之前将巴西的PCC或CV指定为恐怖分子?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。