SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus expected imminently for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company has adjusted its target downward to at least 1.8 trillion after earlier ambitions exceeded 2 trillion, aligning closely with the 72% implied probability on that range. Secondary tender offers valued the firm at roughly 800 billion as recently as December 2025, yet forward-looking IPO pricing reflects expectations for Starlink revenue growth, launch dominance, and potential capital raises exceeding 75-80 billion. Key catalysts ahead include the June roadshow and pricing, which will test whether market conditions support the upper end of current guidance versus more conservative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.75-2.00万亿 72%
2.00-2.25万亿 16%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.2%
2.50万亿美元以上 2.1%
$158,259 交易量
$158,259 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
1%
1.25-1.50万亿
1%
1.50-1.75万亿
7%
1.75-2.00万亿
72%
2.00-2.25万亿
16%
2.25-2.50万亿
7%
2.50万亿美元以上
2%
1.75-2.00万亿 72%
2.00-2.25万亿 16%
2.25-2.50万亿 7.2%
2.50万亿美元以上 2.1%
$158,259 交易量
$158,259 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
1%
1.25-1.50万亿
1%
1.50-1.75万亿
7%
1.75-2.00万亿
72%
2.00-2.25万亿
16%
2.25-2.50万亿
7%
2.50万亿美元以上
2%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus expected imminently for a June 2026 Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, anchors trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation band. Recent reports indicate the company has adjusted its target downward to at least 1.8 trillion after earlier ambitions exceeded 2 trillion, aligning closely with the 72% implied probability on that range. Secondary tender offers valued the firm at roughly 800 billion as recently as December 2025, yet forward-looking IPO pricing reflects expectations for Starlink revenue growth, launch dominance, and potential capital raises exceeding 75-80 billion. Key catalysts ahead include the June roadshow and pricing, which will test whether market conditions support the upper end of current guidance versus more conservative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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