SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 94.9% market-implied probability for a June outcome. The company confidentially filed with the SEC in April, completed its public prospectus in mid-May following a faster-than-expected review, and scheduled a roadshow launch around June 4 with pricing the week of June 9. This compressed process, driven by strong investor demand and operational readiness, has aligned trader consensus around an imminent debut. Delays from final regulatory hurdles, adverse market conditions, or shifts in share-sale size could still push the event later, though such scenarios currently carry low implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于六月 94.9%
7月 2.6%
八月 1.7%
九月 1.0%
$420,289 交易量
$420,289 交易量
六月
95%
7月
3%
八月
2%
九月
1%
十月
<1%
十一月
<1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
1%
六月 94.9%
7月 2.6%
八月 1.7%
九月 1.0%
$420,289 交易量
$420,289 交易量
六月
95%
7月
3%
八月
2%
九月
1%
十月
<1%
十一月
<1%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX targeted for June 12 at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 94.9% market-implied probability for a June outcome. The company confidentially filed with the SEC in April, completed its public prospectus in mid-May following a faster-than-expected review, and scheduled a roadshow launch around June 4 with pricing the week of June 9. This compressed process, driven by strong investor demand and operational readiness, has aligned trader consensus around an imminent debut. Delays from final regulatory hurdles, adverse market conditions, or shifts in share-sale size could still push the event later, though such scenarios currently carry low implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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