Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (53.5%) to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace talks and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagement after the leaders' 2025 Alaska summit. Recent developments include Trump's May 2026 Beijing visit, followed days later by Putin's own summit with Xi Jinping, alongside a Kremlin aide's mention of possible November talks in Shenzhen. These factors support China's elevated 20% share as the likeliest alternative venue. U.S. hosting of the December G20 has drawn a Putin invitation, though doubts persist about attendance. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, and traditional neutral sites such as Switzerland or Gulf states align with persistent diplomatic friction and lack of confirmed planning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面？
截至12月31日不见面 53%
China 20%
Russia 7%
United States 6%
$19,747 交易量
$19,747 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
53%
China
20%
Russia
7%
United States
6%
Gulf country
5%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
2%
Other
2%
Belarus
1%
Finland
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Ukraine
1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
截至12月31日不见面 53%
China 20%
Russia 7%
United States 6%
$19,747 交易量
$19,747 交易量
2026-12-31
截至12月31日不见面
$2,645 交易量
53%
China
$3,494 交易量
20%
Russia
$1,438 交易量
7%
United States
$868 交易量
6%
Gulf country
$1,004 交易量
5%
Switzerland
$1,360 交易量
2%
Turkey
$1,082 交易量
2%
Other
$1,372 交易量
2%
Belarus
$983 交易量
1%
Finland
$971 交易量
1%
Other EU country
$1,025 交易量
1%
South Korea
$862 交易量
1%
Ukraine
$842 交易量
1%
Japan
$920 交易量
<1%
Australia
$925 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (53.5%) to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace talks and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagement after the leaders' 2025 Alaska summit. Recent developments include Trump's May 2026 Beijing visit, followed days later by Putin's own summit with Xi Jinping, alongside a Kremlin aide's mention of possible November talks in Shenzhen. These factors support China's elevated 20% share as the likeliest alternative venue. U.S. hosting of the December G20 has drawn a Putin invitation, though doubts persist about attendance. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, and traditional neutral sites such as Switzerland or Gulf states align with persistent diplomatic friction and lack of confirmed planning.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$19,747结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (53.5%) to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace talks and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagement after the leaders' 2025 Alaska summit. Recent developments include Trump's May 2026 Beijing visit, followed days later by Putin's own summit with Xi Jinping, alongside a Kremlin aide's mention of possible November talks in Shenzhen. These factors support China's elevated 20% share as the likeliest alternative venue. U.S. hosting of the December G20 has drawn a Putin invitation, though doubts persist about attendance. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, and traditional neutral sites such as Switzerland or Gulf states align with persistent diplomatic friction and lack of confirmed planning.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$19,747结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest probability (53.5%) to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, reflecting stalled Ukraine peace talks and the absence of scheduled bilateral engagement after the leaders' 2025 Alaska summit. Recent developments include Trump's May 2026 Beijing visit, followed days later by Putin's own summit with Xi Jinping, alongside a Kremlin aide's mention of possible November talks in Shenzhen. These factors support China's elevated 20% share as the likeliest alternative venue. U.S. hosting of the December G20 has drawn a Putin invitation, though doubts persist about attendance. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, and traditional neutral sites such as Switzerland or Gulf states align with persistent diplomatic friction and lack of confirmed planning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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