United Russia holds the leading position in trader assessments for the largest net seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate selection, and advantages from single-member districts plus new constituencies in occupied territories. Recent polling aggregates show the party maintaining support ahead of rivals, though its already dominant share of seats limits the scope for further expansion. New People ranks second in market pricing due to consistent second-place showings in some surveys and positioning as a systemic alternative with growth potential relative to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail amid limited momentum. Scheduled campaigning and regional experiments will influence final seat distributions through September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党(ER) 56%
新人民党(NL) 33.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 4.7%
$9,577,720 交易量
$9,577,720 交易量

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
56%

新人民党(NL)
34%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
6%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
5%

公正俄罗斯——为了真理党(SRZP)
1%

罗迪纳
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%
统一俄罗斯党(ER) 56%
新人民党(NL) 33.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 4.7%
$9,577,720 交易量
$9,577,720 交易量

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
56%

新人民党(NL)
34%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
6%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
5%

公正俄罗斯——为了真理党(SRZP)
1%

罗迪纳
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the leading position in trader assessments for the largest net seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate selection, and advantages from single-member districts plus new constituencies in occupied territories. Recent polling aggregates show the party maintaining support ahead of rivals, though its already dominant share of seats limits the scope for further expansion. New People ranks second in market pricing due to consistent second-place showings in some surveys and positioning as a systemic alternative with growth potential relative to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail amid limited momentum. Scheduled campaigning and regional experiments will influence final seat distributions through September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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