United Russia maintains the leading trader consensus for the largest net seat gain ahead of Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and established structures in single-member districts plus new constituencies. Recent polling aggregates show the party holding 33-52% support, ahead of systemic rivals, though some surveys indicate erosion from prior levels amid wartime conditions. New People follows as the main challenger, with select polls placing it second at around 13% and highlighting modest growth potential compared to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited organizational momentum and competition for the systemic opposition role. Scheduled voting in September will determine final seat shifts under the mixed electoral system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 56%
新人民党（NL） 33.8%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 4.7%
$9,574,616 交易量
$9,574,616 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
56%
新人民党（NL）
34%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
5%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 56%
新人民党（NL） 33.8%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 4.7%
$9,574,616 交易量
$9,574,616 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$2,936,457 交易量
56%
新人民党（NL）
$1,207,847 交易量
34%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,351,808 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$722,529 交易量
5%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$627,801 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$1,087,902 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$640,293 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains the leading trader consensus for the largest net seat gain ahead of Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and established structures in single-member districts plus new constituencies. Recent polling aggregates show the party holding 33-52% support, ahead of systemic rivals, though some surveys indicate erosion from prior levels amid wartime conditions. New People follows as the main challenger, with select polls placing it second at around 13% and highlighting modest growth potential compared to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited organizational momentum and competition for the systemic opposition role. Scheduled voting in September will determine final seat shifts under the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$9,574,616结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains the leading trader consensus for the largest net seat gain ahead of Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and established structures in single-member districts plus new constituencies. Recent polling aggregates show the party holding 33-52% support, ahead of systemic rivals, though some surveys indicate erosion from prior levels amid wartime conditions. New People follows as the main challenger, with select polls placing it second at around 13% and highlighting modest growth potential compared to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited organizational momentum and competition for the systemic opposition role. Scheduled voting in September will determine final seat shifts under the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$9,574,616结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains the leading trader consensus for the largest net seat gain ahead of Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, extensive administrative resources, and established structures in single-member districts plus new constituencies. Recent polling aggregates show the party holding 33-52% support, ahead of systemic rivals, though some surveys indicate erosion from prior levels amid wartime conditions. New People follows as the main challenger, with select polls placing it second at around 13% and highlighting modest growth potential compared to 2021 results, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail due to limited organizational momentum and competition for the systemic opposition role. Scheduled voting in September will determine final seat shifts under the mixed electoral system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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