United Russia holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate selection, and a track record of securing constitutional majorities in prior cycles. New People follows as the primary challenger with notable polling gains in recent surveys, reflecting its appeal as a newer systemic alternative amid efforts to refresh parliamentary dynamics. The remaining parties face structural barriers from established regional networks and limited recent momentum, consistent with historical patterns in Russia's managed multiparty system where the leading outcome typically consolidates support through institutional advantages ahead of the three-day voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党(ER) 56%
新人民党(NL) 33.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 4.7%
$9,577,765 交易量
$9,577,765 交易量

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
56%

新人民党(NL)
34%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
6%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
5%

公正俄罗斯——为了真理党(SRZP)
1%

罗迪纳
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%
统一俄罗斯党(ER) 56%
新人民党(NL) 33.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR) 5.8%
俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF) 4.7%
$9,577,765 交易量
$9,577,765 交易量

统一俄罗斯党(ER)
56%

新人民党(NL)
34%

俄罗斯自由民主党(LDPR)
6%

俄罗斯联邦共产党(KPRF)
5%

公正俄罗斯——为了真理党(SRZP)
1%

罗迪纳
<1%

公民平台党(GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources, control over candidate selection, and a track record of securing constitutional majorities in prior cycles. New People follows as the primary challenger with notable polling gains in recent surveys, reflecting its appeal as a newer systemic alternative amid efforts to refresh parliamentary dynamics. The remaining parties face structural barriers from established regional networks and limited recent momentum, consistent with historical patterns in Russia's managed multiparty system where the leading outcome typically consolidates support through institutional advantages ahead of the three-day voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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