KRG officials have issued no statements, parliamentary actions, or public signals suggesting any intent to pursue a unilateral independence declaration by December 31, 2026. Instead, leaders under Prime Minister Masrour Barzani maintain routine coordination with Baghdad on oil revenue sharing, federal budget matters, and security cooperation. This stance reflects the post-2017 pattern following the failed referendum, which produced territorial losses, economic pressure, and a reaffirmation of constitutional autonomy within Iraq. Regional opposition from Iran and Turkey to any separatist moves, combined with an absence of scheduled votes, diplomatic shifts, or internal resolutions in recent months, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring resolution to No.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$52,821 交易量
$52,821 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$52,821 交易量
$52,821 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.KRG officials have issued no statements, parliamentary actions, or public signals suggesting any intent to pursue a unilateral independence declaration by December 31, 2026. Instead, leaders under Prime Minister Masrour Barzani maintain routine coordination with Baghdad on oil revenue sharing, federal budget matters, and security cooperation. This stance reflects the post-2017 pattern following the failed referendum, which produced territorial losses, economic pressure, and a reaffirmation of constitutional autonomy within Iraq. Regional opposition from Iran and Turkey to any separatist moves, combined with an absence of scheduled votes, diplomatic shifts, or internal resolutions in recent months, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring resolution to No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$52,821结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.KRG officials have issued no statements, parliamentary actions, or public signals suggesting any intent to pursue a unilateral independence declaration by December 31, 2026. Instead, leaders under Prime Minister Masrour Barzani maintain routine coordination with Baghdad on oil revenue sharing, federal budget matters, and security cooperation. This stance reflects the post-2017 pattern following the failed referendum, which produced territorial losses, economic pressure, and a reaffirmation of constitutional autonomy within Iraq. Regional opposition from Iran and Turkey to any separatist moves, combined with an absence of scheduled votes, diplomatic shifts, or internal resolutions in recent months, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring resolution to No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,821结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...KRG officials have issued no statements, parliamentary actions, or public signals suggesting any intent to pursue a unilateral independence declaration by December 31, 2026. Instead, leaders under Prime Minister Masrour Barzani maintain routine coordination with Baghdad on oil revenue sharing, federal budget matters, and security cooperation. This stance reflects the post-2017 pattern following the failed referendum, which produced territorial losses, economic pressure, and a reaffirmation of constitutional autonomy within Iraq. Regional opposition from Iran and Turkey to any separatist moves, combined with an absence of scheduled votes, diplomatic shifts, or internal resolutions in recent months, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring resolution to No.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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