The UK government's plan to introduce legislation enabling proscription of state-linked groups such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps begins only after the July parliamentary session following the King's Speech, with no fast-track or emergency timeline confirmed despite the EU's February designation and parallel steps by the United States, Canada, and Australia. Parliamentary motions and external calls for action have not altered the established process or prompted immediate measures under existing terrorism laws. This procedural schedule leaves insufficient time for formal designation by June 30, underpinning the 97% trader consensus on a "No" outcome. A major security incident or abrupt policy reversal could still accelerate action within the remaining window, though no such developments have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于英国是否会在6月30日之前将伊斯兰革命卫队指定为恐怖组织？
英国是否会在6月30日之前将伊斯兰革命卫队指定为恐怖组织？
是
$97,046 交易量
$97,046 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$97,046 交易量
$97,046 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.The UK government's plan to introduce legislation enabling proscription of state-linked groups such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps begins only after the July parliamentary session following the King's Speech, with no fast-track or emergency timeline confirmed despite the EU's February designation and parallel steps by the United States, Canada, and Australia. Parliamentary motions and external calls for action have not altered the established process or prompted immediate measures under existing terrorism laws. This procedural schedule leaves insufficient time for formal designation by June 30, underpinning the 97% trader consensus on a "No" outcome. A major security incident or abrupt policy reversal could still accelerate action within the remaining window, though no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$97,046结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.The UK government's plan to introduce legislation enabling proscription of state-linked groups such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps begins only after the July parliamentary session following the King's Speech, with no fast-track or emergency timeline confirmed despite the EU's February designation and parallel steps by the United States, Canada, and Australia. Parliamentary motions and external calls for action have not altered the established process or prompted immediate measures under existing terrorism laws. This procedural schedule leaves insufficient time for formal designation by June 30, underpinning the 97% trader consensus on a "No" outcome. A major security incident or abrupt policy reversal could still accelerate action within the remaining window, though no such developments have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
交易量
$97,046结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UK government's plan to introduce legislation enabling proscription of state-linked groups such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps begins only after the July parliamentary session following the King's Speech, with no fast-track or emergency timeline confirmed despite the EU's February designation and parallel steps by the United States, Canada, and Australia. Parliamentary motions and external calls for action have not altered the established process or prompted immediate measures under existing terrorism laws. This procedural schedule leaves insufficient time for formal designation by June 30, underpinning the 97% trader consensus on a "No" outcome. A major security incident or abrupt policy reversal could still accelerate action within the remaining window, though no such developments have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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