A late May 2026 Turkish appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress that elected Özgür Özel as party leader, reinstating his predecessor Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu and prompting police to evict ousted officials from headquarters. Authorities detained 13 individuals tied to alleged delegate irregularities on political party law violations, yet issued no arrest warrant or detention order against Özel himself. The opposition figure has since led large street rallies in Ankara and other cities, maintaining public visibility without facing new formal charges that would trigger custody by the June 30 deadline. Traders therefore assign an implied 92.5% probability to no arrest, viewing the judicial action as sufficient to sideline Özel from leadership while avoiding the additional step of personal detention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,471 交易量
$21,471 交易量
2026-06-30
$21,471 交易量
$21,471 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A late May 2026 Turkish appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress that elected Özgür Özel as party leader, reinstating his predecessor Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu and prompting police to evict ousted officials from headquarters. Authorities detained 13 individuals tied to alleged delegate irregularities on political party law violations, yet issued no arrest warrant or detention order against Özel himself. The opposition figure has since led large street rallies in Ankara and other cities, maintaining public visibility without facing new formal charges that would trigger custody by the June 30 deadline. Traders therefore assign an implied 92.5% probability to no arrest, viewing the judicial action as sufficient to sideline Özel from leadership while avoiding the additional step of personal detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
交易量
$21,471结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A late May 2026 Turkish appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress that elected Özgür Özel as party leader, reinstating his predecessor Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu and prompting police to evict ousted officials from headquarters. Authorities detained 13 individuals tied to alleged delegate irregularities on political party law violations, yet issued no arrest warrant or detention order against Özel himself. The opposition figure has since led large street rallies in Ankara and other cities, maintaining public visibility without facing new formal charges that would trigger custody by the June 30 deadline. Traders therefore assign an implied 92.5% probability to no arrest, viewing the judicial action as sufficient to sideline Özel from leadership while avoiding the additional step of personal detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21,471结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A late May 2026 Turkish appeals court ruling annulled the 2023 CHP congress that elected Özgür Özel as party leader, reinstating his predecessor Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu and prompting police to evict ousted officials from headquarters. Authorities detained 13 individuals tied to alleged delegate irregularities on political party law violations, yet issued no arrest warrant or detention order against Özel himself. The opposition figure has since led large street rallies in Ankara and other cities, maintaining public visibility without facing new formal charges that would trigger custody by the June 30 deadline. Traders therefore assign an implied 92.5% probability to no arrest, viewing the judicial action as sufficient to sideline Özel from leadership while avoiding the additional step of personal detention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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