European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized diplomacy, sanctions coordination, and multilateral engagement through the EU and IAEA following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliations in February and March 2026. Joint E3 statements have condemned indiscriminate attacks while signaling readiness only for proportionate defensive measures, such as missile intercepts and maritime security support, rather than independent offensive operations against Iranian territory. Germany has explicitly ruled out offensive involvement, and the UK and France have limited their military contributions to defensive intercepts and allied base support. With no verified E3-initiated strikes since those events and ongoing calls for de-escalation and negotiations, traders see direct military action by these nations before June 30 as highly improbable, though an unforeseen major escalation could still prompt reassessment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$2,260,524 交易量
$2,260,524 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$2,260,524 交易量
$2,260,524 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized diplomacy, sanctions coordination, and multilateral engagement through the EU and IAEA following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliations in February and March 2026. Joint E3 statements have condemned indiscriminate attacks while signaling readiness only for proportionate defensive measures, such as missile intercepts and maritime security support, rather than independent offensive operations against Iranian territory. Germany has explicitly ruled out offensive involvement, and the UK and France have limited their military contributions to defensive intercepts and allied base support. With no verified E3-initiated strikes since those events and ongoing calls for de-escalation and negotiations, traders see direct military action by these nations before June 30 as highly improbable, though an unforeseen major escalation could still prompt reassessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
交易量
$2,260,524结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized diplomacy, sanctions coordination, and multilateral engagement through the EU and IAEA following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliations in February and March 2026. Joint E3 statements have condemned indiscriminate attacks while signaling readiness only for proportionate defensive measures, such as missile intercepts and maritime security support, rather than independent offensive operations against Iranian territory. Germany has explicitly ruled out offensive involvement, and the UK and France have limited their military contributions to defensive intercepts and allied base support. With no verified E3-initiated strikes since those events and ongoing calls for de-escalation and negotiations, traders see direct military action by these nations before June 30 as highly improbable, though an unforeseen major escalation could still prompt reassessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,260,539结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European leaders from France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have consistently prioritized diplomacy, sanctions coordination, and multilateral engagement through the EU and IAEA following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and subsequent Iranian retaliations in February and March 2026. Joint E3 statements have condemned indiscriminate attacks while signaling readiness only for proportionate defensive measures, such as missile intercepts and maritime security support, rather than independent offensive operations against Iranian territory. Germany has explicitly ruled out offensive involvement, and the UK and France have limited their military contributions to defensive intercepts and allied base support. With no verified E3-initiated strikes since those events and ongoing calls for de-escalation and negotiations, traders see direct military action by these nations before June 30 as highly improbable, though an unforeseen major escalation could still prompt reassessment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题