Skip to main content

Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

·
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Giorgia Meloni

$544K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$15M Vol.

$355K today

$2M Liq.

121

Ends in 7 months

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

77%

JD Vance

$296K Vol.

$133K today

$397K Liq.

10

Ends in about 2 months

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

79%

<5

$6.4K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

88%

<5

$12.9K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

69%

<5

$2.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

12%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

195

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

15%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$119K today

$174K Liq.

1,071

Ends in 7 months

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

December 31

$54.8K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

June 30

$478K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

11

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

77

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

<1%

$57M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$897K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

46

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

11%

$20M Vol.

$97.8K today

$381K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

$604K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 7 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

3%

$2M Vol.

$64.8K Liq.

27

Ends in 14 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$21M Vol.

$80.0K today

$251K Liq.

420

Ends in 14 days

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

2%

June 13

$57M Vol.

$6M today

$3M Liq.

1,039

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Any U.S. House member

$420K Vol.

$83.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 14 days

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

6%

$11M Vol.

$115K Liq.

49

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ali Khamenei.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $208.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to June 14. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.