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Hezbollah predictions & odds

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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

31%

July 31

$4M Vol.

$552K today

$109K Liq.

151

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

June 30

$81.1K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

8

Ends in 15 days

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

5%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$570K Vol.

$146K Liq.

15

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$897K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

46

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

1%

June 30

$40.5K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

14%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$212K today

$143K Liq.

50

Ends in 15 days

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

28%

June 30

$129K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

22

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

31%

June 30

$98.0K Vol.

$937 Liq.

4

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

4%

June 30

$62.5K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

20%

June 30

$16.2K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

21

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

84%

June 30

$45.5K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

3%

$84.6K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

20%

$182K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

35%

$685 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Team Secret (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Team Secret (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

80%

Falcons Esport

$9 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

BoyBand

$350 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

13%

$8.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$414K today

$327K Liq.

82

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.