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Employment predictions & odds

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What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

82%

Good Afternoon

$35.6K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

34%

4.3%

$1.0K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

17%

5.0%

$437K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

20%

50k – 100k

$2.7K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

$7.0K Vol.

$861 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$935 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

10

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

42%

Keith Sonderling

$46.3K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$7.8K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

100%

$730

$11.5K Vol.

$56.6K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

14%

↑ 0.12

$2.8K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$116K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

14

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

54%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

56%

$80

$15.5K Vol.

$49.1K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 10,000

$64.1K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

11%

↓ 60

$1M Vol.

$88.4K today

$331K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

1%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

1,049

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Employment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Employment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.