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Politcs predictions & odds

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Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

14%

$41.6K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Trump post this week? (June 15 - 21)

42%

Mexico

$6.6K Vol.

$951 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$4M today

$68M Liq.

774

Ends in over 2 years

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

22%

Kamala Harris

$744K Vol.

$711K Liq.

18

Ends in 6 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

17%

Phil Murphy

$43.1K Vol.

$979K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

64%

50+ bps increase

$397 Vol.

$612 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

46%

Petro - Colombia President

$934K Vol.

$319K Liq.

14

Ends in 6 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

1%

$48.1K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 days

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

93%

70-75%

$16.5K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

38%

100-119

$5.5K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

99%

100-119

$16.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

19%

$699K Vol.

$151K today

$52.0K Liq.

16

Ends in 6 months

Zelenskyy # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 19 - June 26, 2026?

41%

80-99

$951 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

$620K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?

98%

$3.2K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

56%

United Russia (ER)

$12M Vol.

$170K today

$764K Liq.

228

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

79%

Anthropic

$34.2K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

28%

PNL

$64.1K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 days

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

44%

160-179

$14.0K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

100%

FP

$166K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

6

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Politcs.

Polymarket currently hosts 173 active markets for Politcs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Politcs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.