Brazil’s central bank has maintained a measured easing cycle following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April that brought the benchmark rate to 14.50 percent, positioning traders to assign a 71 percent implied probability to another decrease at the June Copom meeting. Moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market support further calibration, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year—above the 3 percent target midpoint yet within the 1.5–4.5 percent tolerance band—while 2026 inflation expectations hover near 4.9 percent. Geopolitical uncertainties tied to Middle East conflicts have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling an outright pause, keeping the market-implied path for modest rate relief intact ahead of the mid-June decision and subsequent inflation releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 71%
无变化 28.4%
提高 <1%
$185,674 交易量
$185,674 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
<1%
无变化
28%
下调
71%
下调 71%
无变化 28.4%
提高 <1%
$185,674 交易量
$185,674 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$48,903 交易量
<1%
无变化
$52,277 交易量
28%
下调
$84,493 交易量
71%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank has maintained a measured easing cycle following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April that brought the benchmark rate to 14.50 percent, positioning traders to assign a 71 percent implied probability to another decrease at the June Copom meeting. Moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market support further calibration, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year—above the 3 percent target midpoint yet within the 1.5–4.5 percent tolerance band—while 2026 inflation expectations hover near 4.9 percent. Geopolitical uncertainties tied to Middle East conflicts have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling an outright pause, keeping the market-implied path for modest rate relief intact ahead of the mid-June decision and subsequent inflation releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$185,674结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s central bank has maintained a measured easing cycle following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April that brought the benchmark rate to 14.50 percent, positioning traders to assign a 71 percent implied probability to another decrease at the June Copom meeting. Moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market support further calibration, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year—above the 3 percent target midpoint yet within the 1.5–4.5 percent tolerance band—while 2026 inflation expectations hover near 4.9 percent. Geopolitical uncertainties tied to Middle East conflicts have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling an outright pause, keeping the market-implied path for modest rate relief intact ahead of the mid-June decision and subsequent inflation releases.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$185,674结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s central bank has maintained a measured easing cycle following consecutive 25-basis-point Selic reductions in March and April that brought the benchmark rate to 14.50 percent, positioning traders to assign a 71 percent implied probability to another decrease at the June Copom meeting. Moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market support further calibration, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year—above the 3 percent target midpoint yet within the 1.5–4.5 percent tolerance band—while 2026 inflation expectations hover near 4.9 percent. Geopolitical uncertainties tied to Middle East conflicts have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling an outright pause, keeping the market-implied path for modest rate relief intact ahead of the mid-June decision and subsequent inflation releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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