Brazil’s Copom is positioned for a 25-basis-point Selic reduction at its June 15-16 meeting, with traders assigning a 71% implied probability to a decrease from the current 14.50% level. This reflects the continuation of the measured easing cycle that began with consecutive quarter-point cuts in March and April, supported by moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market. Elevated April IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year and a higher-than-expected mid-May IPCA-15 print have kept 2026 inflation expectations near 4.9%, above the 3% target midpoint, reinforcing a cautious, data-dependent stance amid geopolitical uncertainties. The near-28% probability of no change underscores the central bank’s reluctance to accelerate easing while inflation risks persist, with an increase viewed as highly unlikely given recent policy communications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 71%
无变化 27.5%
提高 <1%
$185,679 交易量
$185,679 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
<1%
无变化
28%
下调
71%
下调 71%
无变化 27.5%
提高 <1%
$185,679 交易量
$185,679 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$48,903 交易量
<1%
无变化
$52,282 交易量
28%
下调
$84,493 交易量
71%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s Copom is positioned for a 25-basis-point Selic reduction at its June 15-16 meeting, with traders assigning a 71% implied probability to a decrease from the current 14.50% level. This reflects the continuation of the measured easing cycle that began with consecutive quarter-point cuts in March and April, supported by moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market. Elevated April IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year and a higher-than-expected mid-May IPCA-15 print have kept 2026 inflation expectations near 4.9%, above the 3% target midpoint, reinforcing a cautious, data-dependent stance amid geopolitical uncertainties. The near-28% probability of no change underscores the central bank’s reluctance to accelerate easing while inflation risks persist, with an increase viewed as highly unlikely given recent policy communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$185,679结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s Copom is positioned for a 25-basis-point Selic reduction at its June 15-16 meeting, with traders assigning a 71% implied probability to a decrease from the current 14.50% level. This reflects the continuation of the measured easing cycle that began with consecutive quarter-point cuts in March and April, supported by moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market. Elevated April IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year and a higher-than-expected mid-May IPCA-15 print have kept 2026 inflation expectations near 4.9%, above the 3% target midpoint, reinforcing a cautious, data-dependent stance amid geopolitical uncertainties. The near-28% probability of no change underscores the central bank’s reluctance to accelerate easing while inflation risks persist, with an increase viewed as highly unlikely given recent policy communications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$185,679结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s Copom is positioned for a 25-basis-point Selic reduction at its June 15-16 meeting, with traders assigning a 71% implied probability to a decrease from the current 14.50% level. This reflects the continuation of the measured easing cycle that began with consecutive quarter-point cuts in March and April, supported by moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market. Elevated April IPCA inflation at 4.39% year-over-year and a higher-than-expected mid-May IPCA-15 print have kept 2026 inflation expectations near 4.9%, above the 3% target midpoint, reinforcing a cautious, data-dependent stance amid geopolitical uncertainties. The near-28% probability of no change underscores the central bank’s reluctance to accelerate easing while inflation risks persist, with an increase viewed as highly unlikely given recent policy communications.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题