Brazil’s Copom has sustained a measured easing cycle, cutting the Selic rate by 25 basis points in both March and April to 14.50 percent, which underpins the 71 percent market-implied probability of another decrease at the June 15–16 meeting. Traders price continued modest calibration amid moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year and 2026 expectations remain near 4.9 percent, above the 3.0 percent target midpoint. Geopolitical uncertainties linked to Middle East tensions have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling a pause, supporting consensus for further easing while inflation risks stay elevated ahead of the next policy decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 71%
无变化 29.5%
提高 <1%
$185,674 交易量
$185,674 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
<1%
无变化
30%
下调
71%
下调 71%
无变化 29.5%
提高 <1%
$185,674 交易量
$185,674 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$48,903 交易量
<1%
无变化
$52,277 交易量
30%
下调
$84,493 交易量
71%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s Copom has sustained a measured easing cycle, cutting the Selic rate by 25 basis points in both March and April to 14.50 percent, which underpins the 71 percent market-implied probability of another decrease at the June 15–16 meeting. Traders price continued modest calibration amid moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year and 2026 expectations remain near 4.9 percent, above the 3.0 percent target midpoint. Geopolitical uncertainties linked to Middle East tensions have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling a pause, supporting consensus for further easing while inflation risks stay elevated ahead of the next policy decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$185,674结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil’s Copom has sustained a measured easing cycle, cutting the Selic rate by 25 basis points in both March and April to 14.50 percent, which underpins the 71 percent market-implied probability of another decrease at the June 15–16 meeting. Traders price continued modest calibration amid moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year and 2026 expectations remain near 4.9 percent, above the 3.0 percent target midpoint. Geopolitical uncertainties linked to Middle East tensions have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling a pause, supporting consensus for further easing while inflation risks stay elevated ahead of the next policy decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$185,674结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s Copom has sustained a measured easing cycle, cutting the Selic rate by 25 basis points in both March and April to 14.50 percent, which underpins the 71 percent market-implied probability of another decrease at the June 15–16 meeting. Traders price continued modest calibration amid moderating GDP growth and a still-resilient labor market, even as April IPCA inflation rose to 4.39 percent year-over-year and 2026 expectations remain near 4.9 percent, above the 3.0 percent target midpoint. Geopolitical uncertainties linked to Middle East tensions have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signaling a pause, supporting consensus for further easing while inflation risks stay elevated ahead of the next policy decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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