PL holds the largest current caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following gains through party switching after the 2022 election and benefits from established infrastructure in the proportional representation system that rewards incumbents. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish first in October 2026, reflecting its structural edge over fragmented center and left coalitions amid ongoing right-wing mobilization ahead of concurrent presidential and congressional races. UPB, FE Brasil, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and less consolidated support, though shifts in candidate alignments or late party negotiations could still alter seat distributions before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PL 79%
UPB 10%
MISSÃO 7.1%
FE Brasil 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PL
79%
UPB
10%
MISSÃO
7%
FE Brasil
6%
共和党（REPUBLICANOS）
1%
MDB
1%
PSB
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
Avante
<1%
PODE
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 79%
UPB 10%
MISSÃO 7.1%
FE Brasil 6.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
PL
$3,783 交易量
79%
UPB
$682 交易量
10%
MISSÃO
$539 交易量
7%
FE Brasil
$474 交易量
6%
共和党（REPUBLICANOS）
$343 交易量
1%
MDB
$239 交易量
1%
PSB
$266 交易量
1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$215 交易量
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$237 交易量
<1%
PSD
$205 交易量
<1%
PDT
$196 交易量
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$220 交易量
<1%
Avante
$233 交易量
<1%
PODE
$195 交易量
<1%
NOVO
$200 交易量
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL holds the largest current caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following gains through party switching after the 2022 election and benefits from established infrastructure in the proportional representation system that rewards incumbents. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish first in October 2026, reflecting its structural edge over fragmented center and left coalitions amid ongoing right-wing mobilization ahead of concurrent presidential and congressional races. UPB, FE Brasil, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and less consolidated support, though shifts in candidate alignments or late party negotiations could still alter seat distributions before voting.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
交易量
$8,024结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL holds the largest current caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following gains through party switching after the 2022 election and benefits from established infrastructure in the proportional representation system that rewards incumbents. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish first in October 2026, reflecting its structural edge over fragmented center and left coalitions amid ongoing right-wing mobilization ahead of concurrent presidential and congressional races. UPB, FE Brasil, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and less consolidated support, though shifts in candidate alignments or late party negotiations could still alter seat distributions before voting.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
交易量
$8,024结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL holds the largest current caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following gains through party switching after the 2022 election and benefits from established infrastructure in the proportional representation system that rewards incumbents. Trader consensus prices PL at 78.5% to finish first in October 2026, reflecting its structural edge over fragmented center and left coalitions amid ongoing right-wing mobilization ahead of concurrent presidential and congressional races. UPB, FE Brasil, and smaller parties trail due to narrower bases and less consolidated support, though shifts in candidate alignments or late party negotiations could still alter seat distributions before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题