The strong Democratic lean of California's 33rd congressional district, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results favoring Democratic candidates by double digits, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic win at 93.5%. Incumbent Representative Pete Aguilar, first elected in 2014 and holding leadership roles, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition in a district with a sizable Hispanic voting bloc. Republican candidates have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant movement unlikely before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,173 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 33rd congressional district, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results favoring Democratic candidates by double digits, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic win at 93.5%. Incumbent Representative Pete Aguilar, first elected in 2014 and holding leadership roles, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition in a district with a sizable Hispanic voting bloc. Republican candidates have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant movement unlikely before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$4,173结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 33rd congressional district, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results favoring Democratic candidates by double digits, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic win at 93.5%. Incumbent Representative Pete Aguilar, first elected in 2014 and holding leadership roles, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition in a district with a sizable Hispanic voting bloc. Republican candidates have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant movement unlikely before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,173结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 33rd congressional district, reflected in its D+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent presidential results favoring Democratic candidates by double digits, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic win at 93.5%. Incumbent Representative Pete Aguilar, first elected in 2014 and holding leadership roles, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and enters the November general with established fundraising and name recognition in a district with a sizable Hispanic voting bloc. Republican candidates have not mounted competitive challenges in recent cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though structural factors make significant movement unlikely before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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