The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters, anchors the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the state attorney general post created an open seat, but the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear frontrunner in Mark Teixeira amid a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook faces structural challenges in a district that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements altering the landscape, the implied probabilities align with the district's electoral history and limited competitive path for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,509 交易量
$35,509 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
19%
$35,509 交易量
$35,509 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,578 交易量
78%
民主党
$15,931 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters, anchors the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the state attorney general post created an open seat, but the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear frontrunner in Mark Teixeira amid a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook faces structural challenges in a district that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements altering the landscape, the implied probabilities align with the district's electoral history and limited competitive path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$35,509结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters, anchors the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the state attorney general post created an open seat, but the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear frontrunner in Mark Teixeira amid a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook faces structural challenges in a district that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements altering the landscape, the implied probabilities align with the district's electoral history and limited competitive path for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,509结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 21st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solid or safe Republican by forecasters, anchors the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Chip Roy's retirement to pursue the state attorney general post created an open seat, but the March 2026 Republican primary produced a clear frontrunner in Mark Teixeira amid a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook faces structural challenges in a district that has delivered reliable Republican margins in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements altering the landscape, the implied probabilities align with the district's electoral history and limited competitive path for Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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