Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington, with the Republican nominee advancing after a May 2026 primary runoff victory. The district's partisan voting index and recent presidential results exceeding 70 percent Republican support underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Democratic nominee selection occurred without significant contest, leaving the general election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited path for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments such as health issues or ethical controversies that have historically altered safe-seat dynamics in past cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,959 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,517 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington, with the Republican nominee advancing after a May 2026 primary runoff victory. The district's partisan voting index and recent presidential results exceeding 70 percent Republican support underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Democratic nominee selection occurred without significant contest, leaving the general election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited path for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments such as health issues or ethical controversies that have historically altered safe-seat dynamics in past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,475结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington, with the Republican nominee advancing after a May 2026 primary runoff victory. The district's partisan voting index and recent presidential results exceeding 70 percent Republican support underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Democratic nominee selection occurred without significant contest, leaving the general election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited path for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments such as health issues or ethical controversies that have historically altered safe-seat dynamics in past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,475结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Jodey Arrington, with the Republican nominee advancing after a May 2026 primary runoff victory. The district's partisan voting index and recent presidential results exceeding 70 percent Republican support underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Democratic nominee selection occurred without significant contest, leaving the general election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited path for shifts absent major national realignment or unforeseen candidate-specific developments such as health issues or ethical controversies that have historically altered safe-seat dynamics in past cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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