California’s 50th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Scott Peters, remains a heavily Democratic seat following the 2025 passage of Proposition 50, which redrew congressional lines to offset Republican gains elsewhere and strengthen Democratic performance in several California districts. The primary election on June 2, 2026, features multiple Democratic candidates alongside limited Republican opposition, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, the new map, and California’s broader political environment heading into the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong challenger or a major shift in turnout dynamics that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,389 交易量
93%
共和党
$15,374 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 50th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Scott Peters, remains a heavily Democratic seat following the 2025 passage of Proposition 50, which redrew congressional lines to offset Republican gains elsewhere and strengthen Democratic performance in several California districts. The primary election on June 2, 2026, features multiple Democratic candidates alongside limited Republican opposition, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, the new map, and California’s broader political environment heading into the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong challenger or a major shift in turnout dynamics that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$37,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 50th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Scott Peters, remains a heavily Democratic seat following the 2025 passage of Proposition 50, which redrew congressional lines to offset Republican gains elsewhere and strengthen Democratic performance in several California districts. The primary election on June 2, 2026, features multiple Democratic candidates alongside limited Republican opposition, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, the new map, and California’s broader political environment heading into the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong challenger or a major shift in turnout dynamics that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 50th congressional district, held by Democratic incumbent Scott Peters, remains a heavily Democratic seat following the 2025 passage of Proposition 50, which redrew congressional lines to offset Republican gains elsewhere and strengthen Democratic performance in several California districts. The primary election on June 2, 2026, features multiple Democratic candidates alongside limited Republican opposition, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, the new map, and California’s broader political environment heading into the November general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong challenger or a major shift in turnout dynamics that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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