Washington’s 9th Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Republican challengers have filed but demonstrate limited fundraising and lack polling support for competitiveness, while Democratic primary opponents pose no structural threat to the general-election outcome. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these baseline factors. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or late redistricting change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,009 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,381 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Republican challengers have filed but demonstrate limited fundraising and lack polling support for competitiveness, while Democratic primary opponents pose no structural threat to the general-election outcome. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these baseline factors. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or late redistricting change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,390结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Republican challengers have filed but demonstrate limited fundraising and lack polling support for competitiveness, while Democratic primary opponents pose no structural threat to the general-election outcome. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these baseline factors. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or late redistricting change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,390结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th Congressional District maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4 before the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. Republican challengers have filed but demonstrate limited fundraising and lack polling support for competitiveness, while Democratic primary opponents pose no structural threat to the general-election outcome. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects these baseline factors. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or late redistricting change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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