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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 83%

Steve Hilton 12%

Tom Steyer 4.1%

Chad Bianco 1.2%

Polymarket

$376,267 交易量

Xavier Becerra 83%

Steve Hilton 12%

Tom Steyer 4.1%

Chad Bianco 1.2%

Polymarket

$376,267 交易量

Xavier Becerra

$136,217 交易量

83%

Steve Hilton

$85,140 交易量

12%

Tom Steyer

$89,671 交易量

4%

Chad Bianco

$15,032 交易量

1%

Thunder Parley

$3,426 交易量

<1%

Raji Rab

$2,762 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$3,399 交易量

<1%

Betty Yee

$3,218 交易量

<1%

Derek Grasty

$2,674 交易量

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$2,330 交易量

<1%

Katie Porter

$3,382 交易量

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$2,744 交易量

<1%

Leo Zacky

$4,461 交易量

<1%

Matt Mahan

$4,704 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$3,543 交易量

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$5,262 交易量

<1%

Nicki Minaj

$5,000 交易量

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$4,310 交易量

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds a clear lead in recent statewide polls for the June 2 top-two primary, with support in the mid-20s percent range among likely voters, well ahead of Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer who compete for second place. The crowded Democratic field has fragmented support among party voters, while Republican candidates Hilton and Chad Bianco draw consolidated backing within their base. Multiple surveys released in the final week before the primary, including those from Emerson College and PPIC, show Becerra's advantage widening over the past month as he consolidates Democratic preferences. With ballots already mailed and voting underway, traders appear to view Becerra's polling edge and established statewide profile as positioning him strongly for the top spot on election night.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$376,267
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds a clear lead in recent statewide polls for the June 2 top-two primary, with support in the mid-20s percent range among likely voters, well ahead of Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer who compete for second place. The crowded Democratic field has fragmented support among party voters, while Republican candidates Hilton and Chad Bianco draw consolidated backing within their base. Multiple surveys released in the final week before the primary, including those from Emerson College and PPIC, show Becerra's advantage widening over the past month as he consolidates Democratic preferences. With ballots already mailed and voting underway, traders appear to view Becerra's polling edge and established statewide profile as positioning him strongly for the top spot on election night.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$376,267
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Xavier Becerra",概率为 83%,其次是"Steve Hilton",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"已产生 $376.3K 的总交易量(自Apr 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"的当前领先者是"Xavier Becerra",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"Steve Hilton",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"California Governor Primary Election: First Place"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。