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政治·文化

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

icon for Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
政治·文化

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

5月 31

6月 30

5月 31

6月 30

$359,619 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$359,619 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$48,565 交易量

100%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$222,582 交易量

100%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$52,517 交易量

100%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$6,079 交易量

91%

icon for Norah O'Donnell

Norah O'Donnell

$300 交易量

75%

icon for Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell

$1,024 交易量

74%

icon for Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly

$307 交易量

61%

icon for Alex Jones

Alex Jones

$191 交易量

46%

icon for Kaitlan Collins

Kaitlan Collins

$49 交易量

43%

icon for Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

$626 交易量

36%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$340 交易量

30%

icon for Freidrich Merz

Freidrich Merz

$2,318 交易量

19%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$3,868 交易量

16%

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Pope Leo XIV

$1,216 交易量

15%

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Zohran Mamdani

$441 交易量

27%

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Elon Musk

$1,185 交易量

13%

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Pam Bondi

$1,702 交易量

8%

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Vladimir Putin

$375 交易量

8%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$1,092 交易量

6%

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J.D. Vance

$2,614 交易量

6%

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Viktor Orbán

$1,362 交易量

6%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$5,488 交易量

2%

icon for Melania Trump

Melania Trump

$2,308 交易量

2%

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$668 交易量

39%

icon for Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Kimmel

$2 交易量

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal attacks through Truth Social posts and speeches, targeting critics of his Iran policy and other positions with terms like "losers" and "stupid." Recent examples include rebukes of Tucker Carlson and calls for action against Jimmy Kimmel, alongside earlier comments on judicial figures and media. His second-term rhetoric shows increased frequency of insults and profanity compared to prior years, often tied to policy disagreements or media coverage. With the June 30 resolution window approaching, scheduled events such as public appearances or responses to ongoing diplomatic developments could prompt additional statements, while the market reflects trader assessment of this established behavior amid active political debates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$359,619
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终审核

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has maintained a consistent pattern of public personal attacks through Truth Social posts and speeches, targeting critics of his Iran policy and other positions with terms like "losers" and "stupid." Recent examples include rebukes of Tucker Carlson and calls for action against Jimmy Kimmel, alongside earlier comments on judicial figures and media. His second-term rhetoric shows increased frequency of insults and profanity compared to prior years, often tied to policy disagreements or media coverage. With the June 30 resolution window approaching, scheduled events such as public appearances or responses to ongoing diplomatic developments could prompt additional statements, while the market reflects trader assessment of this established behavior amid active political debates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$359,619
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终审核

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 26 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tucker Carlson"，概率为 100%，其次是"Marjorie Taylor Greene"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"已产生 $359.6K 的总交易量（自May 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 26 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"的当前领先者是"Tucker Carlson"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Marjorie Taylor Greene"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。