Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity from June 5-12, 2026, reflects his historically high but variable posting pace, with the 140-159 range holding the top implied probability at 21% in a tightly bunched field of nearby bins. Musk's output often spikes around Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory updates, or major news cycles, while dipping during travel or focused periods, creating the competitive spread among mid-range outcomes. Traders balance his established daily average against unpredictable catalysts that could push totals higher or lower, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time business and cultural developments in the days ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 15%
280-299 14%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
4%
120-139
12%
140-159
18%
160-179
16%
180-199
15%
200-219
8%
220-239
7%
240-259
5%
260-279
5%
280-299
14%
300-319
12%
320-339
4%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
140-159 18%
160-179 16%
180-199 15%
280-299 14%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
2%
80-99
2%
100-119
4%
120-139
12%
140-159
18%
160-179
16%
180-199
15%
200-219
8%
220-239
7%
240-259
5%
260-279
5%
280-299
14%
300-319
12%
320-339
4%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's X activity from June 5-12, 2026, reflects his historically high but variable posting pace, with the 140-159 range holding the top implied probability at 21% in a tightly bunched field of nearby bins. Musk's output often spikes around Tesla and SpaceX milestones, regulatory updates, or major news cycles, while dipping during travel or focused periods, creating the competitive spread among mid-range outcomes. Traders balance his established daily average against unpredictable catalysts that could push totals higher or lower, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time business and cultural developments in the days ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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