Elon Musk's established daily posting rhythm on X underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the 40-64 tweet range for June 1-3, reflected in its leading 62.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show him averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day in the absence of major news cycles, product launches, or platform announcements, aligning closely with the three-day window's expected total. Recent activity on June 1, including multiple replies and high-engagement posts, has reinforced this baseline without signaling any surge or slowdown. The secondary <40 outcome at 31.5% captures potential moderation from travel or meetings, while higher brackets remain marginal due to the lack of catalysts that typically drive elevated volume. With the resolution period ongoing through June 3, traders continue monitoring for any last-minute shifts in engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 63%
<40 32%
65-89 8%
90-114 <1%
$167,765 交易量
$167,765 交易量
2026-06-03
<40
32%
40-64
63%
65-89
8%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 63%
<40 32%
65-89 8%
90-114 <1%
$167,765 交易量
$167,765 交易量
2026-06-03
<40
$25,210 交易量
32%
40-64
$12,427 交易量
63%
65-89
$15,327 交易量
8%
90-114
$15,419 交易量
<1%
115-139
$19,420 交易量
<1%
140-164
$18,566 交易量
<1%
165-189
$16,189 交易量
<1%
190-214
$19,097 交易量
<1%
215-239
$12,140 交易量
<1%
240+
$15,220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established daily posting rhythm on X underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the 40-64 tweet range for June 1-3, reflected in its leading 62.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show him averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day in the absence of major news cycles, product launches, or platform announcements, aligning closely with the three-day window's expected total. Recent activity on June 1, including multiple replies and high-engagement posts, has reinforced this baseline without signaling any surge or slowdown. The secondary <40 outcome at 31.5% captures potential moderation from travel or meetings, while higher brackets remain marginal due to the lack of catalysts that typically drive elevated volume. With the resolution period ongoing through June 3, traders continue monitoring for any last-minute shifts in engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
交易量
$167,765结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established daily posting rhythm on X underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the 40-64 tweet range for June 1-3, reflected in its leading 62.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show him averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day in the absence of major news cycles, product launches, or platform announcements, aligning closely with the three-day window's expected total. Recent activity on June 1, including multiple replies and high-engagement posts, has reinforced this baseline without signaling any surge or slowdown. The secondary <40 outcome at 31.5% captures potential moderation from travel or meetings, while higher brackets remain marginal due to the lack of catalysts that typically drive elevated volume. With the resolution period ongoing through June 3, traders continue monitoring for any last-minute shifts in engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$167,765结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established daily posting rhythm on X underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the 40-64 tweet range for June 1-3, reflected in its leading 62.5% implied probability. Historical patterns show him averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day in the absence of major news cycles, product launches, or platform announcements, aligning closely with the three-day window's expected total. Recent activity on June 1, including multiple replies and high-engagement posts, has reinforced this baseline without signaling any surge or slowdown. The secondary <40 outcome at 31.5% captures potential moderation from travel or meetings, while higher brackets remain marginal due to the lack of catalysts that typically drive elevated volume. With the resolution period ongoing through June 3, traders continue monitoring for any last-minute shifts in engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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