Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 20–30 tweets daily amid a mix of business updates and commentary, underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 140–179 tweet ranges for the June 2–9 window. Traders weigh historical weekly totals that frequently land between 120 and 220 posts against variables like potential spikes from Tesla or SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, or broader political discourse that could push volume higher or lower. With no single dominant catalyst emerging yet in the period, the market reflects balanced assessments of steady engagement versus the possibility of event-driven surges or quieter stretches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 18%
160-179 18%
180-199 14%
120-139 13%
$449,969 交易量
$449,969 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
13%
140-159
18%
160-179
18%
180-199
14%
200-219
11%
220-239
8%
240-259
6%
260-279
6%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 18%
160-179 18%
180-199 14%
120-139 13%
$449,969 交易量
$449,969 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
13%
140-159
18%
160-179
18%
180-199
14%
200-219
11%
220-239
8%
240-259
6%
260-279
6%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: May 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 20–30 tweets daily amid a mix of business updates and commentary, underpins the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 140–179 tweet ranges for the June 2–9 window. Traders weigh historical weekly totals that frequently land between 120 and 220 posts against variables like potential spikes from Tesla or SpaceX milestones, xAI developments, or broader political discourse that could push volume higher or lower. With no single dominant catalyst emerging yet in the period, the market reflects balanced assessments of steady engagement versus the possibility of event-driven surges or quieter stretches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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