Donald Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticisms, amplified in his second term through frequent social media posts and public remarks, has shaped trader assessments for this market. In the weeks leading to the May 31 cutoff, his rhetoric included attacks on media figures, lawmakers, and political opponents, with documented instances targeting reporters over policy questions and references to figures like Ilhan Omar in critical terms. Ongoing tensions with allies and media outlets, alongside routine use of nicknames and pointed language, contributed to positioning for specific individuals. Resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the insult criteria before the deadline, amid a broader environment of heightened combative exchanges that have historically moved similar markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$583,059 交易量

Tucker Carlson
100%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
100%

Keir Starmer
17%

Megyn Kelly
7%

凯特兰·柯林斯
2%
$583,059 交易量

Tucker Carlson
100%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
100%

Keir Starmer
17%

Megyn Kelly
7%

凯特兰·柯林斯
2%
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
有争议
已提议结果: Yes
有争议
最终审核
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
有争议
已提议结果: Yes
有争议
最终审核
Donald Trump’s pattern of direct personal criticisms, amplified in his second term through frequent social media posts and public remarks, has shaped trader assessments for this market. In the weeks leading to the May 31 cutoff, his rhetoric included attacks on media figures, lawmakers, and political opponents, with documented instances targeting reporters over policy questions and references to figures like Ilhan Omar in critical terms. Ongoing tensions with allies and media outlets, alongside routine use of nicknames and pointed language, contributed to positioning for specific individuals. Resolution hinges on verifiable public statements meeting the insult criteria before the deadline, amid a broader environment of heightened combative exchanges that have historically moved similar markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题