Traders assign the highest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across June 4-6, consistent with his established pattern of moderate daily activity on the platform he owns. Musk’s output typically fluctuates with breaking industry news, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary, yet the brief three-day window lacks major scheduled catalysts such as earnings releases or launches that historically drive higher volume. The sub-40 bucket retains solid backing near 30 percent, underscoring expectations for a relatively contained stretch. Any unexpected corporate developments or viral topics could still shift totals, though the market-implied odds currently favor steady rather than elevated engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 55%
<40 29%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.3%
最新
$12,477 交易量
最新
$12,477 交易量
2026-06-06
<40
29%
40-64
55%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
<40 29%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.3%
最新
$12,477 交易量
最新
$12,477 交易量
2026-06-06
<40
$470 交易量
29%
40-64
$499 交易量
55%
65-89
$459 交易量
15%
90-114
$468 交易量
2%
115-139
$570 交易量
1%
140-164
$1,412 交易量
<1%
165-189
$1,451 交易量
<1%
190-214
$2,283 交易量
<1%
215-239
$2,283 交易量
<1%
240+
$2,586 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across June 4-6, consistent with his established pattern of moderate daily activity on the platform he owns. Musk’s output typically fluctuates with breaking industry news, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary, yet the brief three-day window lacks major scheduled catalysts such as earnings releases or launches that historically drive higher volume. The sub-40 bucket retains solid backing near 30 percent, underscoring expectations for a relatively contained stretch. Any unexpected corporate developments or viral topics could still shift totals, though the market-implied odds currently favor steady rather than elevated engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$12,477结束日期
2026-06-06市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across June 4-6, consistent with his established pattern of moderate daily activity on the platform he owns. Musk’s output typically fluctuates with breaking industry news, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary, yet the brief three-day window lacks major scheduled catalysts such as earnings releases or launches that historically drive higher volume. The sub-40 bucket retains solid backing near 30 percent, underscoring expectations for a relatively contained stretch. Any unexpected corporate developments or viral topics could still shift totals, though the market-implied odds currently favor steady rather than elevated engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$12,477结束日期
2026-06-06市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to Elon Musk posting 40-64 tweets across June 4-6, consistent with his established pattern of moderate daily activity on the platform he owns. Musk’s output typically fluctuates with breaking industry news, Tesla or SpaceX milestones, and real-time commentary, yet the brief three-day window lacks major scheduled catalysts such as earnings releases or launches that historically drive higher volume. The sub-40 bucket retains solid backing near 30 percent, underscoring expectations for a relatively contained stretch. Any unexpected corporate developments or viral topics could still shift totals, though the market-implied odds currently favor steady rather than elevated engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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