Elon Musk's tweet volume for the June 5-12 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, each carrying 16.5% implied probability, as traders weigh his established posting rhythm against week-to-week variability. Musk typically generates 20-30 posts daily when balancing X activity with Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI demands, producing the 140-180 cluster that currently leads. Recent business updates and any high-profile replies or threads can push counts higher, while travel or focused product work tends to moderate output. The closely matched frontrunners reflect uncertainty over whether the period will feature routine engagement or a surge tied to unfolding events, with lower-probability tails accounting for outlier quiet or hyperactive stretches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 17%
160-179 16%
180-199 15%
120-139 11%
$69,826 交易量
$69,826 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
6%
120-139
11%
140-159
17%
160-179
16%
180-199
15%
200-219
8%
220-239
5%
240-259
4%
260-279
4%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 17%
160-179 16%
180-199 15%
120-139 11%
$69,826 交易量
$69,826 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
6%
120-139
11%
140-159
17%
160-179
16%
180-199
15%
200-219
8%
220-239
5%
240-259
4%
260-279
4%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume for the June 5-12 window sits in a tight contest between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges, each carrying 16.5% implied probability, as traders weigh his established posting rhythm against week-to-week variability. Musk typically generates 20-30 posts daily when balancing X activity with Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI demands, producing the 140-180 cluster that currently leads. Recent business updates and any high-profile replies or threads can push counts higher, while travel or focused product work tends to moderate output. The closely matched frontrunners reflect uncertainty over whether the period will feature routine engagement or a surge tied to unfolding events, with lower-probability tails accounting for outlier quiet or hyperactive stretches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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