The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026, matching consensus expectations amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a declining labor force participation rate. This stability anchors trader positioning ahead of the May reading due June 5, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 36% for another 4.3% print, followed by 26% for 4.4% and 23% for 4.2%. Recent data show the labor market in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium, where modest employment growth suffices to keep the rate flat given slower population dynamics and lower break-even job thresholds near zero. Broader indicators, including downward revisions to prior months and softening consumer confidence, point to contained upward pressure in the near term, though any acceleration in job losses or labor force re-entry could shift the distribution toward higher outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.3% 36%
4.4% 26%
4.2% 23%
4.5% 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
≤3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
4%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
36%
4.4%
26%
4.5%
8%
4.6%
2%
≥4.7%
2%
4.3% 36%
4.4% 26%
4.2% 23%
4.5% 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-05
≤3.9%
$57 交易量
<1%
4.0%
$310 交易量
1%
4.1%
$946 交易量
4%
4.2%
$732 交易量
23%
4.3%
$1,599 交易量
36%
4.4%
$513 交易量
26%
4.5%
$312 交易量
8%
4.6%
$1,206 交易量
2%
≥4.7%
$358 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026, matching consensus expectations amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a declining labor force participation rate. This stability anchors trader positioning ahead of the May reading due June 5, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 36% for another 4.3% print, followed by 26% for 4.4% and 23% for 4.2%. Recent data show the labor market in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium, where modest employment growth suffices to keep the rate flat given slower population dynamics and lower break-even job thresholds near zero. Broader indicators, including downward revisions to prior months and softening consumer confidence, point to contained upward pressure in the near term, though any acceleration in job losses or labor force re-entry could shift the distribution toward higher outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
交易量
$6,034结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026, matching consensus expectations amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a declining labor force participation rate. This stability anchors trader positioning ahead of the May reading due June 5, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 36% for another 4.3% print, followed by 26% for 4.4% and 23% for 4.2%. Recent data show the labor market in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium, where modest employment growth suffices to keep the rate flat given slower population dynamics and lower break-even job thresholds near zero. Broader indicators, including downward revisions to prior months and softening consumer confidence, point to contained upward pressure in the near term, though any acceleration in job losses or labor force re-entry could shift the distribution toward higher outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$6,034结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026, matching consensus expectations amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a declining labor force participation rate. This stability anchors trader positioning ahead of the May reading due June 5, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 36% for another 4.3% print, followed by 26% for 4.4% and 23% for 4.2%. Recent data show the labor market in a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium, where modest employment growth suffices to keep the rate flat given slower population dynamics and lower break-even job thresholds near zero. Broader indicators, including downward revisions to prior months and softening consumer confidence, point to contained upward pressure in the near term, though any acceleration in job losses or labor force re-entry could shift the distribution toward higher outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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